Oct 2, 2025; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees pitcher Cam Schlittler (31) walks of the field after pitching the top of the sixth inning against the Boston Red Sox during game three of the Wildcard round for the 2025 MLB playoffs at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 10/8/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Toronto (94-68) vs New York (94-68)

October 8, 2025 at 07:08 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, October 8th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB Divisional Series matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays lead this series 2-1, but they did drop game three by a score of 9-6 on Tuesday night. Toronto led 6-1 in the third inning, but they went scoreless over the last six innings in the loss. The Blue Jays recorded nine hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Santander and Guerrero Jr, who both had two RBIs in the loss. Toronto started Bieber, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 2.2 innings, while Varland picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, Toronto had a bye in the Wild Card round, but ended the regular season by sweeping the Rays in three games. The Blue Jays have won six of their last seven games and they finished first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff had a 4.19 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense scored 798 runs with a .265 batting average and a .333 on base percentage in the regular season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. led Toronto with 23 home runs and 84 RBIs, while George Springer added 32 home runs and 84 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is TBD, but it sounds like it could be a bullpen game. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are down 2-1 in the series after they won game three by a score of 9-6 on Tuesday. New York started the game very poorly, but scored the last eight runs to pull away with the victory. The Yankees recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Judge, who went 3-4 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. New York started Rodon, who allowed six hits and six earned runs over 2.1 innings, while Hill got the win and Bednar picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees defeated the Red Sox in the Wild Card round in three games and finished the regular season by sweeping the Orioles and White Sox. New York has won 11 of their last 14 games and they finished second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 6.06 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .277 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 26 runs with a .261 batting average and a .311 on base percentage in the postseason. Aaron Judge has led New York with one home run and six RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added one home run and four RBIs in the playoffs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.63 WHIP over 8.0 innings pitched in the postseason. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

The home team has won each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games.
The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six road playoff games following a loss.
The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six playoff games as road underdogs.
The favorites have covered the run line in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games.
The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five playoff games as road underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Blue Jays’ last four games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Yankees’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Blue Jays and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in each of his last three home appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
Amed Rosario has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Blue Jays.
Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.688) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last three playoff games.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 13 games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
George Springer ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.309) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Yankees rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (820).
The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.455).
The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.333).
The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (1099).

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 

Toronto looked like they were going to run away with game three and complete the series sweep on Tuesday, but New York woke up and scored nine runs in the win. The Blue Jays have a very high scoring offense, but they have allowed 16 runs in their last two games and they used quite a few pitchers last night. New York finally has some momentum in this series and Schlittler pitched a gem against Boston in the Wild Card round. I am concerned about the Toronto pitching plan for this game, so give me the Yankees to get another win here.

David Racey's Pick: Yankees -1.5

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