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Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction 5/26/25 MLB Picks

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Texas Rangers (26-28) vs Toronto Blue Jays (25-27)

May 26, 2025 at 04:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas Rangers -162 / Toronto Blue Jays +136 — Over/Under: 7.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 26th at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 25-27 this season after they lost all three games in their series against Tampa Bay by scores of 1-3, 1-3, and 0-13. In their game three loss, Toronto fell behind 2-0 in the first inning and allowed seven runs in the fifth inning to put the game away for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Guerrero Jr., who had one hit and one walk in the loss. Toronto started Bassitt, who allowed nine hits and five earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Fluharty allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Blue Jays swept the Padres in three games, but lost two out of three against the Tigers before that. Toronto has split its last six games, and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 205 runs with a .246 batting average and a .318 on-base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero has led Toronto with seven home runs and 23 RBIs, while Daulton Varsho has added seven home runs and 19 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 4-4 with a 4.03 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 58.0 innings pitched this season. 

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 26-28 this year after they lost two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 1-4, 5-10, and 5-4. In their game three win, Texas trailed 3-2 late in the game, but they scored three runs in the top of the ninth to get the win. The Rangers recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Garcia and Burger, who both had two RBIs in the win. Texas started Corbin, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Armstrong got the win and Garcia picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Rangers lost all three games against the Yankees and split four games with the Astros. Texas has lost six of its last seven games, and they are currently third in the AL West standings. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.34 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 182 runs with a .223 batting average and a .286 on-base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with seven home runs and 27 RBIs, while Wyatt Langford has added nine home runs and 20 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Jacob deGrom, who is 4-1 with a 2.33 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 58.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Rangers will beat the Blue Jays 

  • The Rangers have won each of their last six home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have lost six of their last seven games against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Blue Jays following a win.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last six road games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Rangers’ last nine home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Rangers’ last 10 day games at Globe Life Field.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Blue Jays’ last 14 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Wyatt Langford has hit a home run in three of the Rangers’ last four games at Globe Life Field against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Rangers as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Corey Seager has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances.
  • Jake Burger has recorded a Double in three of the Rangers’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
  • Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances at Globe Life Field against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one Single in 15 of his last 16 appearances against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances at Globe Life Field against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous road appearances against the Rangers.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against the Rangers.
  • Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Rangers.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Daulton Varsho has scored at least one run in each of his four previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Rangers.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rangers rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.223).
  • The Rangers rank 28th in the league for walks this season (140).
  • The Blue Jays rank T28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (75).
  • The Blue Jays are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this series struggling in recent games, but Texas will be at home. The Rangers are 17-10 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 9-15 on the road. Toronto is coming off an ugly series in Tampa, and they are starting Gausman, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. Texas barely avoided the sweep against the White Sox on Sunday, and they are starting deGrom, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Texas has the pitching advantage in this matchup, and I like them to win by at least two runs here. 

David Racey's Pick: Rangers -1.5

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