Blue Jays vs Cubs Prediction 8/6/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 6th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 54-61 this season after they won two out of three against the Astros by scores of 3-1, 2-7, and 5-4. In game three, Toronto erased a 3-0 deficit in the sixth inning and scored two runs in the 10th to get the win. The Blue Jays recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Sanchez, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Taillon allowed six hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Varland picked up the win and Lee got the save. Prior to that series, Toronto won two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Nationals. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.06 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 449 runs with a .241 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 24 home runs and 70 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added seven home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Dylan Cease, who is 7-5 with a 2.41 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 119.1 innings pitched this season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 66-49 this year after they swept the Dodgers by scores of 10-5, 5-1, and 7-6. In game three, Chicago led 7-1 in the seventh inning, but they allowed five runs in the eighth and barely got the win. The Cubs recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by Crow-Armstrong, who went 3-5 with two home runs and four RBIs. Imanaga allowed eight hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Webb picked up the save. Prior to that series, Chicago lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did win three out of four against the Cardinals before that. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.08 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 592 runs with a .249 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led the Cubs with 26 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added 17 home runs and 63 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is David Peterson, who is 6-7 with a 5.52 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 101.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five road games following a win.
• The underdogs have won three of the Blue Jays’ last four games.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 14 games as road favorites following an extra innings win.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Cubs have lost each of their last seven games as home underdogs against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have won four of their last five day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against the Blue Jays following a win.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Cubs’ last five day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last six day games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last eight Thursday games against American League opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• David Peterson has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Michael Busch has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 11 games at Wrigley Field against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances with the Blue Jays as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Luis Urias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Dylan Cease has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances.

Blue Jays vs Cubs Prediction 

Chicago comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in all four of those wins. The Cubs are 34-24 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 26-30 on the road. Toronto has alternated wins and losses over their last five games, but did just win a series against the Astros. The Jays are starting Cease, who has allowed four earned runs in his last 29.0 innings, while Peterson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Take the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 7.5