Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 5/20/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Rays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, May 20th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 32-15 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AL East. They have a 18-5 home record and are coming off a 4-1 win against the Orioles. They will face the Yankees and the Orioles next.

The Rays have a .262 batting average this season, .336 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .316 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 35, while Junior Caminero adds a team-high 13 home runs.

Jesse Scholtens (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 4-2 record, 3.06 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.

Baltimore Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles have a 21-28 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the AL East. They have a 9-16 away record and are coming off a 4-1 loss against the Rays. They will face the Tigers and the Rays next.

The Orioles have a .232 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .385 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.96 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .262 batting average. Pete Alonso leads the team in RBI with 26, while Gunnar Henderson adds a team-high 10 home runs.

Shane Baz (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 1-5 record, 5.26 ERA and 1.52 WHIP.

Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends: May 20, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jesse Scholtens      Record this season: 4-2      ERA: 3.06
• Home Record: 3-1
• Last 5 against Orioles: 0-0

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last 12 road games against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have won each of their last 12 home games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Rays have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz      Record this season: 1-5      ERA: 5.26
• Road Record: 0-3
• Last 5 against Rays: –

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Orioles and Rays.
• The Rays have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Orioles following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday games as underdogs.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites against the Orioles following a win.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Wednesday day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rays’ last six day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Orioles’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Orioles’ last nine road games against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Orioles and Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Chandler Simpson ranks 5th in the league in Steals (14) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Taylor Ward has hit at least one home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Rays.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 12 games as road underdogs.
• Taylor Ward ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.416) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rays rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (10).
• The Rays rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.262).
• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.265).
• The Orioles rank 28th in the league for runs allowed this season (269).

Orioles vs Rays Prediction

The Rays are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Orioles and are 4-1 their last 5 meetings in Tampa.

In this Orioles vs Rays Prediction, the Rays are coming as -130 home favorites. The Rays have been destroying the Orioles in this series having won both games with a combined 20-7 score and there is no reason to not back them up again today, as the Orioles are putting the struggling Shane Baz on the mound with his 5.26 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Scholtens has been unstable for the Rays, but they are the best team against righties in the past couple of weeks and have a better bullpen, so take them to keep rolling and win another one at home today.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Tampa Bay Rays ML