Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction 9/25/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 78-81 on the year. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .233 on the season and have a .313 OBP and a .394 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the Baltimore Orioles with 157 hits and 110 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Leody Taveras have combined for 231 hits and 113 RBI.

Trevor Rogers gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 10-11 with a 4.07 ERA and 153 strikeouts this season. Rogers is 1-2 with a 6.41 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 92-67 this year. The New York Yankees are batting .234 on the season, with a .311 OBP and a .410 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.20 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 148 hits and 97 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 240 hits and 128 RBI.

Brendan Beck gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 0-1 with an 8.22 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Beck’s first career game against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have lost 10 of their last 11 games at Yankee Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last seven games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games at Yankee Stadium following a home win.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games at Yankee Stadium against AL opponents.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine night games against the Orioles.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against AL opponents following a home win.
• The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against AL opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Orioles’ last eight night games against AL opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 12 of the Yankees’ last 14 night games against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• George Lombard Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
• Ben Rice has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Orioles at Yankee Stadium.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Beavers has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two games against the Yankees.
• Coby Mayo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight road games against AL opponents.
• Brandon Young has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (588).
• The Yankees are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for hits this season (1233).
• The Orioles rank 26th in the league for steals this season (76).

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are obviously the better team and have a track record of being the Orioles’ daddy. However, I’m not excited about Beck and his 7.2-inning sample size. Rogers has shown flashes of returning to a ptoetial all star and that includes allowing 22 hits and 8 runs in his last 28 innings. In July, Rogers allowed 28 hits and 8 earned runs in 30.1 innings. Rogers has been a bright spot for the O’s this season. This game isn’t that important for the Yanks, who have already clinched. I’ll take the plus money with the more trustworthy arm.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Baltimore Orioles