Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Prediction 9/16/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets meet Wednesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 74-78 on the year and play the Brewers and Blue Jays next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .235 on the season and have a .316 OBP and a .393 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the Baltimore Orioles with 151 hits and 100 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Leody Taveras have combined for 240 hits and 112 RBI.

Chris Bassitt gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 7-5 with a 4.88 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. Bassitt is 2-0 with a 0.44 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 69-82 on the year and play the Phillies and Rangers next. The New York Mets are batting .238 on the season, have a .308 OBP, and have a .395 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 153 hits and 73 RBI, while Carson Benge and Marcus Semien have combined for 249 hits and 103 RBI.

Robert Stock gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 1-3 with a 5.93 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. This will be Stock’s second career game against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last 10 Wednesday night games against AL opponents.
• The Orioles have lost four of their last five games at Citi Field following a win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games against NL opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in 15 of their last 20 games against AL opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL opponents.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL opponents following a road win.
• The Mets have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 19 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Orioles’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Mets’ last 11 home games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Robert Stock’s five previous home appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 15 of the Orioles’ last 18 games against NL opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• A.J. Ewing has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last five night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Christian Encarnacion-Strand has hit a home run in three of his four previous appearances at Citi Field.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.
• Coby Mayo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 6th in the league for strikeouts this season (1355).
• The Mets rank 8th in the league for home runs this season (190).
• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for batting average this season (.234).
• The Orioles rank 4th in the league for walks this season (558).

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Prediction

I’m not running ot the window to back Bassitt and his 4.88 ERA and 1.59 WHIP, but as I’ve said all week, the Orioles need to keep winning if they’re going to sneak into a wild card spot. The Mets gave up on the season months ago, and they’re not getting any better with Stock at 5.93 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. Heck, waves of Mets fans left last night once Alonso was done batting for the Orioles. The fact you can get the O’s at plus money feels strange. We’re getting a more favorable price on a team still playing for something. I’ll gladly grab Baltimore.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Baltimore Orioles