In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 5, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles (38-49, 19-27 Away) lost to the Texas Rangers two times in the space of ten days, while they managed to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays in between those series. Baltimore failed to score after the 5th inning in Game 1 of the current series against the Atlanta Braves, but still emerged victorious in the end, 3-2. Cedric Mullins led the offense with a two-run homer, while Charlie Morton got the win after allowing two runs on six hits with seven strikeouts and one walk across 5.1 innings of work.

This season, the Orioles average 4.14 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .240/.305/.399 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Orioles’ staff has a 4.98 ERA (27th) and 1.42 WHIP (27th). Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with a .214 batting average, 13 home runs, and 41 RBI this season.

Dean Kremer will take the mound for the Orioles on Saturday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 7-7 record in 16 starts this year with a 4.27 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 97.0 innings.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (39-48, 24-20 Home) are winless in four consecutive series following losses to the Miami Marlins, a split with the New York Mets, and defeats to the Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Angels. It didn’t start well for the Braves against the Orioles as well; they fell short 3-2 in the opening game on Friday. Drake Baldwin drove in both RBI for the Braves, thanks to a two-run homer, while Spencer Strider took the loss after allowing three runs on seven hits with six strikeouts and one walk in 6.0 innings.

This year, the Braves average 4.02 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .243/.318/.380 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.75 ERA (9th) and 1.23 WHIP (10th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .264 batting average, 16 home runs, and 56 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Aaron Bummer, who is 1-1 in zero starts this season, with a 2.86 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 34.2 innings.

Why the Orioles will beat the Braves

The Braves have lost four of their last five games at Truist Park.
The Orioles have won three of their last four games against the Braves.
The Orioles have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents following a win.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last four home games against teams that held a losing record.
The Orioles have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Braves.
The Orioles have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Braves’ last four games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Six of the Orioles’ last seven road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last five games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four day games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Braves rank T27th in the league for doubles this season (118).
The Braves rank 4th in the league for runs allowed this season (342).
The Orioles rank 28th in the league for walks this season (243).
The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (807).

Orioles vs Braves Prediction

The Braves won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Orioles were better in three of the last four. I am backing the O’s to add another W on Saturday because of the pitching matchup and Atlanta’s situation with injured starters. Aaron Bummer will start for the very first time in his career, even though he’s been playing in the MLB since 2017 and has more than 370 appearances under his belt. Although he’s an experienced reliever, I doubt he’ll handle this situation well. Dean Kremer, on the other hand, had a solid June, during which he posted a 3.30 ERA and allowed just three runs in his previous three starts. He should go 5.0+ innings without issues here and keep the Braves to below three runs. I am going with the Orioles.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Orioles ML