Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 07/13/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 13, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (42-52, 18-30 Away) were winless in six consecutive series after splitting one and losing five. In the last two, the Braves were swept by the Baltimore Orioles and lost to the Athletics. They will win the current series against the Cardinals, though, thanks to a couple of narrow wins, 6-5 and 7-6. Nacho Alvarez Jr. scored the winning run in his first game this season after coming back from an injury. Sean Murphy led the offense with a three-run homer, while Aaron Bummer pitched for 2.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on four hits with one strikeout and no walks. Daysbel Hernandez was credited with the win.

This season, the Braves average 4.03 runs per game (23rd in the MLB) on a .241/.314/.385 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.82 ERA (13th) and 1.23 WHIP (9th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .260 batting average, 17 home runs, and 58 RBI this season.

At the time of writing, the Braves haven’t announced the name of their starter for this duel against the Cardinals.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals (50-46, 28-20 Home) were swept by the Pittsburgh Pirates and lost to the Chicago Cubs, but responded with a win over the Washington Nationals. However, the Cards will lose the current series against the Braves after falling short in the opening two duels. In last night’s 7-6 defeat, Nolan Gorman led the offense with two RBI, while Erick Fedde pitched for 4.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on six hits with one strikeout and one walk. Ryan Helsley took the loss.

This year, the Cardinals average 4.55 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .252/.321/.394 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Cardinals’ staff has a 4.07 ERA (19th) and 1.26 WHIP (18th). Willson Contreras leads the Cardinals with a .253 batting average, 12 home runs, and 53 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals is Sonny Gray, who is 9-3 in 18 starts this season, with a 3.51 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 105.0 innings.

Why the Cardinals will beat the Braves

The Braves have lost each of their last seven Sunday games.
The Cardinals have won four of their last five home games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Cardinals following a win.
The Cardinals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

Twelve of the Cardinals’ last 15 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Braves’ last five road games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five road games.

Matchup/League Facts

The Cardinals rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (263).
The Cardinals rank 5th in the league for doubles this season (165).
The Braves rank 4th in the league for hits allowed this season (729).
The Braves rank T26th in the league for doubles this season (135).

Braves vs Cardinals Prediction

The Braves won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last three, while Atlanta was better in four of five meetings this season. The Braves will use their bullpen, which is a solid chance for the Cards to exploit and get a W to avoid getting swept. Sonny Gray is St. Louis’ ace this season and is coming from a strong month after posting a 2.55 ERA in June. He allowed seven runs in his previous four starts, and I am backing him to get a quality start here. Back the Cardinals to win.