Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 07/31/2025 MLB Picks

Atlanta (45-62) vs Cincinnati (57-52)

July 31, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati -1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5

The Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds meet Thursday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Pick.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 45-62 on the year and play the Brewers, Marlins, and Mets next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .242 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and a .389 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Austin Riley leads the Atlanta Braves with 107 hits and 53 RBI, while Matt Olson and Michael Harris II have combined for 197 hits and 116 RBI.

Carlos Carrasco gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 2-2 with a 5.91 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. Carrasco is 5-0 with a 3.24 ERA and 55 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 57-52 on the year and play the Cubs, Pirates, and Phillies next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .246 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .392 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 117 hits and 69 RBI while TJ Friedl and Spencer Steer have combined for 191 hits and 79 RBI.

Andrew Abbott gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 8-1 with a 2.09 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. This will be Abbott’s second career game against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
The Reds have won four of their last five home games against teams that held a losing record.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
The Reds have covered the run line each of their last six Thursday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Reds have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites.
The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Great American Ball Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Braves have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

The Braves have won each of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
The Reds have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against the Braves following a home win.
The Braves have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites against the Braves following a home win.
The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Jake Fraley has hit a home run in three of his last 10 appearances against the Braves.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight Thursday appearances with the Reds as favorites.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in five of the Braves’ last six games against the Reds at Great American Ball Park.
Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Double in six of his last seven appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.