Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 4/3/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, April 3rd in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 3-4 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the NL West. They have a 3-1 home record and are coming off a 2-17 home loss to the Braves. Their previous three games were a 1-0, a 7-5, and a 9-6 home win over the Tigers.

The Diamondbacks have a .226 batting average this season, .289 OBP and .412 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 5.25 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Corbin Carroll is the team’s best hitter with a .292 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 8 and adding a team-high two home runs.

Eduardo Rodriguez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 0-0 record, 0.00 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 5-2 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the NL East. They have a 1-0 road record and are coming off a 17-2 road win over the Diamondbacks. Their previous three games were a 2-5 home loss, a 5-1 home win, and a 4-0 home win over the Athletics.

The Braves have a .281 batting average this season, .360 OBP and .464 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 2.00 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. Mauricio Dubon is the team’s best hitter with a .429 batting average. Drake Baldwin leads the team in RBI with 8, also adding a team-high three home runs.

Grant Holmes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 0-1 record, 5.40 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: April 3, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 0.00
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Braves: 1-0

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Braves and Diamondbacks.
• The Braves have lost seven of their last eight Friday games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in five of their last six games.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last nine Friday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Friday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Grant Holmes      Record this season: 0-1      ERA: 5.40
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 0-0

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last nine road games.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last nine games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 14 road games.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games.
• The Braves have won the first inning in four of their last five night games.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Braves’ last seven games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Braves’ last seven road games against National League opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his seven previous home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 home appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
• Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a win in three of his four previous home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last 12 home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Alek Thomas ranks T7th in the league in Steals (2) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in five of the Braves’ last six games as road favorites.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against the Diamondbacks.
• Drake Baldwin ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (15).
• The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for runs allowed this season (44).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (66).
• The Braves rank T1st in the league for home runs this season (10).

Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Dbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Braves but both teams are tied 3-3 in their last six meetings in Arizona.  

In this Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Braves are coming as -125 road favorites. The Braves smoked the Dbacks yesterday with an emphatic 17-2 win but they are putting Holmes on the mound who had a shaky first start of the season and was torched by Arizona last season, having given up 9 runs in 8.3 innings pitched across two starts. On the flip side, the Dbacks put Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound and his first start of the season was a shutout against the Royals, but he had a 5.02 ERA and 1.54 WHIP last season so I don’t trust him against a better Braves squad. I expect runs in this game with two shaky pitchers on the mound, so take the over 9 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 9