Sep 5, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA;  Houston Astros first baseman Christian Walker (8) reacts after striking out during the sixth inning against the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images
Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Astros vs Yankees Prediction 8/26/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Houston Astros New York Yankees
Team Records 66-66 74-57
Spread +1.5 -171 -1.5 141
Moneyline +119 -143
Total Over 9 (100) Under 9 (-120)
Where Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
When Wednesday, August 26, 2026
Time 07:05 PM EDT
TV ESPN Unlmtd

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 26th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 66-66 this season after they won game one by a score of 9-7 last night. Houston trailed 6-5 in the seventh inning, but they scored four runs in the last two innings to get the win. The Astros recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Diaz, who went 3-4 with two home runs and three RBIs. Pecko allowed five hits and five earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Abreu got the win and Hader picked up the save. Prior to this series, Houston lost two out of three against the Athletics and two out of three against the Angels. 

This season, Houston has a 4.65 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 605 runs with a .243 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 36 home runs and 91 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 23 home runs and 72 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Peter Lambert, who is 8-7 with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 122.1 innings pitched this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 74-57 this year after they lost game one by a score of 7-9 on Tuesday. New York led 3-2, 5-3, and 6-5, but couldn’t hold any lead for the loss. The Yankees recorded 10 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Garcia Jr, who went 4-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Warren allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Headrick picked up the loss. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Blue Jays and all three against the Orioles. 

This season, New York has a 3.24 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 586 runs with a .230 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 34 home runs and 82 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 12 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is TBD. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Yankees have won 12 of their last 13 games against AL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Astros have lost seven of their last eight games following a win.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games.
  • The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against AL opponents.

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the last five games between the Astros and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Yankees have lost 16 of their last 24 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Astros’ last nine games.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 20 home games against AL opponents after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites against the Astros have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Ten of the Astros’ last 12 road games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games as favorites.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Astros’ last eight games at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
  • Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Astros.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Peter Lambert has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Peter Lambert has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
  • Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 10 games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Yainer Diaz has hit at least one home run in each of the Astros’ last two road games against AL opponents.

Astros vs Yankees Prediction 

Houston was able to get an exciting win in game one on Tuesday, but they have allowed 7+ runs in three of their last five games. The Astros are 33-31 on the road this year, while the Yankees are 33-29 at home. New York has lost two of their last three games, but they have scored 15 runs in their last two. The Yankees have not announced their starter, while Lambert has allowed 9, 2, 2, 2, and 2 earned runs in his last five outings. Take the Yankees to get the win here.

David Racey's Pick: Yankees ML

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