Astros vs Mets Prediction 8/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 28th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 67-67 this season after they won two out of three against the Yankees by scores of 9-7, 3-9, and 5-1. In game three, Houston had their lead cut to 3-1 in the sixth inning, but they scored the last two runs to pull away with the win. The Astros recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Walker, who went 3-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Wesneski allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Blubaugh threw two innings in relief. Prior to that series, Houston lost two out of three against the Athletics and two out of three against the Angels. 

This season, Houston has a 4.65 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 613 runs with a .242 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 36 home runs and 91 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 24 home runs and 75 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Hunter Brown, who is 3-3 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 74.1 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 60-74 this year after they lost two out of three against the Brewers by scores of 3-2, 1-8, and 2-8. In game three, New York cut the deficit to 5-2 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Mets recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Young, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Manaea allowed eight hits and six earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Curry allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, New York lost two out of three against the White Sox, but did win two out of three against the Padres before that. 

This season, New York has a 4.11 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 552 runs with a .236 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 14 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Christian Scott, who is 4-3 with a 3.73 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Astros’ last five games.
• The Astros have lost each of their last three games as favorites following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL opponents following a home loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against AL opponents.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won each of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost five of their last six home games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Friday home games against AL opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home games against AL West opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three home games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Mets’ last seven night games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Astros’ last five games as favorites against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Mets’ last six games as underdogs.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Astros’ last six games as road favorites.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL West opponents.
• Marcus Semien has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Astros.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Hunter Brown has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 12 appearances with the Astros as favorites against NL opponents.
• Hunter Brown has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Astros as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Jeremy Pena has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last three games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Christian Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Astros vs Mets Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games and they have scored three runs or fewer in all four. The Mets are 31-37 at home this year, while the Astros are 34-32 on the road. Houston has lost three of their last five games, but they are coming off of a huge series win over the Yankees. The Astros are starting Brown, who has allowed 1, 2, 3, 3, and 2 earned runs in his last five outings, while Scott has allowed 4, 3, 4, and 3 earned runs in his last four starts. Take the Astros here.

David Racey's Pick: Astros ML