Pick details
| MATCHUP | Arizona Diamondbacks | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 47-47 | 61-34 |
| Spread | +1.5 107 | -1.5 -129 |
| Moneyline | +226 | -282 |
| Total | Over 9 (-107) | Under 9 (-112) |
| Where | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California | |
| When | Saturday, July 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 47-47 on the year and play the Cardinals and Athletics next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting. 237 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and have a .383 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks’ pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 94 hits and 54 RBI, while Corbin Carroll and Geraldo Perdomo have combined for 164 hits and 78 RBI.
Brandon Pfaadt gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 2-1 with a 4.84 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. Pfaadt is 4-2 with a 5.32 ERA and 42 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 61-34 on the year and play the Yankees and Phillies next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .264 on the season and have a .346 OBP and a .437 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 102 hits and 49 RBI, while Andy Pages and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 188 hits and 120 RBI.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 9-5 with a 2.49 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season. Yamamoto is 4-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 49 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won each of their last 11 games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six Saturday road games against National League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five Saturday road games.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight night games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium following a road win.
- The Dodgers have lost seven of their last nine games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a home loss.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against the Dodgers following a win.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a home loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Dodgers’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Thirteen of the Diamondbacks’ last 16 road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight road games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Dodgers’ last three games.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Andy Pages has hit a home run in four of the Dodgers’ last 10 games as favorites against the Diamondbacks.
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL West opponents.
- Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 appearances against the Diamondbacks at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Ketel Marte has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Pfaadt has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against NL West opponents.
- Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
We cashed on the Diamondbacks and big plus money yesterday, and I’m always in the business of fading inflated lines. However, I’m on the Dodgers here. Yamamoto has been strong this season with a 2.08 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. In 87 at bats agaisnt current Diamondbacks, Yamamoto is allowing a .172 batting average, a .217 on-base percentage, and has 22 strikeouts. In 131 at bats agaisnt current Dodgers, Pfaadt is allowing a .298 batting average, a .338 on-base percentage, and has 6 homers. One team is thrilled to see a pitcher on the bump, the other not so much. Give me the Dodgers and the RL for max betting value.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
