Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 7/20/24

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Chicago Cubs (47-52) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (50-48)

July 20, 2024 at 07:15 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs +102 / Arizona Diamondbacks -120 — Over/Under: 8

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 20th at Wrigley Field. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Diamondbacks recent form and recent player performance 

-The Cubs recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Arizona

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago

-Recent betting trends in games played between Arizona and Chicago.

Diamondbacks Need These Wins 

The Diamondbacks team had a 50-49 record overall, and that included a win on Friday. Ryne Nelson went 5.2 innings, giving up three hits and one run. The Diamondbacks are averaging 4.97 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.79 runs per game. They are batting .254 as a team, which is 7th in the league. Ketel Marte has hit 19 home runs and driven in 57 RBIs so far this season. Lourdes Gurriel has also hit 13 home runs and driven in 56 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Diamondbacks will be Zac Gallen who sits with a 6-5 record and an ERA of 3.87. In his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays, he went 3.2 innings giving up nine hits and seven runs. 

Why the Diamondbacks Will Beat the Cubs

  • The Cubs have lost each of their last six night games following a loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last four night games after playing the previous day.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line each of their last five games at Wrigley Field against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Saturday games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.

What a Bad Loss for the Cubs


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The Cubs had a pitching advantage on Friday, and they wasted it by losing 5-2. For a team that is trying to compete for the playoffs, it’s games they can’t lose. Christopher Morel did finish with a hit, and he drove in an RBI.  The Cubs are averaging 4.24 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.29 runs per game. The offense is ranked 19th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 15th. Ian Happ has hit 50 home runs and driven in 102 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Cubs will be Kyle Hendricks, who sits with a 2-7 record and an ERA of 6.78. In his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals, he went seven innings, giving up five hits and zero runs. 

Why the Cubs will Beat the Diamondbacks

  • The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Cubs following a win.
  • The Cubs have won six of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against the Diamondbacks.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

Hendricks really impressed in the last game, and he’s finding success here. Gallen in his last start was hit hard, but overall this season he sits with an ERA of 3.87. The Diamondbacks and Cubs are both going to really struggle here to get the bats going, and this game is going to be a good old-fashioned pitches duel. There will only be four or five runs scored total. Back the under to cash.

Shane Mickle's Pick: Under

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