Atlanta Braves (53-42) vs St. Louis Cardinals (50-46)
Game Info: Saturday, July 20, 2024 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)
Charlie Morton (5-5) (4.07) vs Kyle Gibson (7-3) (4.16)
Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -150 / St. Louis Cardinals +138 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The St. Louis Cardinals and the Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Game one for the Cardinals will see Kyle Gibson listed as the starter and Gibson is 7-3 with a 4.16 ERA and 96 strikeouts while Sonny Gray will start game two and is 9-6 with a 3.34 ERA and 121 strikeouts this season. Charlie Morton will start game one for Atlanta and is 5-5 with a 4.07 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. Bryce Elder will start game two and is 1-3 with a 5.71 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Recap
The St. Louis Cardinals come into this one looking to build some momentum in the second half after a series split with the Chicago Cubs thanks to an 8-3 loss in their final game before the break. The split followed up a sweep at the hands of the Royals in the prior series.
Cardinals Trying To Keep Ball Rolling In NL Central Pursuit
Nolan Arenado has 93 hits along with 14 doubles and 40 RBIs while Brendan Donovan has a team-high 98 hits and 45 RBIs with 22 doubles. Nolan Gorman has a team-high 17 home runs along with 47 RBIs in addition to 13 doubles while Masyn Winn has a .284 batting average and 9 stolen bases. Paul Goldschmidt also has 114 K’s while Gorman has a team-high 129 strikeouts as well this season. Alec Burleson also has 17 home runs and a team-high 53 RBIs as well this year.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Cardinals have won eight of their last nine day games following a loss.
- The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Cardinals' last eight games.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves will try to make a solid playoff push in the second half after their series win in the final set before the all-star break thanks to a 6-3 win over San Diego in their last matchup. The win kept the unbeaten streak alive for Atlanta after earning a split against the Diamondbacks to start the week.
Braves Trying To Catch Phillies In NL East Hunt
Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 107 hits including 26 home runs and 77 RBIs while Orlando Arcia has 18 doubles and Ozzie Albies has a team-high 27 doubles, logging 90 hits as well this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season but is out for the season with a torn ACL. Matt Olson has 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 44 RBIs with a team-high 109 strikeouts and Austin Riley has 20 doubles with a pair of triples.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Cardinals have lost 11 of their last 12 road games following a home loss.
- The Braves have won eight of their last nine home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Braves have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against teams that held a winning record.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
I’m on the over in both games here. I think the matchup of Gibson vs. Morton is a bring your glove kind of game as both starters have been hit hard as of late, with Gibson showing major signs of regression and Morton having a tendency to give up lots of hard contact. Game two, Sonny Gray is solid but he’s really struggled on the road with an ERA over five, and Bryce Elder has been a weak link in this Atlanta system for some time now. I think we have a high-scoring double-header brewing here, so give me the over.
Chris’s Pick OVER
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo
Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg