Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 4/14/25 MLB Picks

Braves Looking For Consistency After Alternating Wins & Losses In 9 Straight Games

Austin Riley leads the Braves with 17 hits, including a team-high 4 doubles, but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 21 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies and Marcell Ozuna each have 15 hits with 2 doubles, 3 home runs, and 8 RBIs, while Matt Olson has 11 hits with 3 doubles. Michael Harris II also has 12 hits with 2 doubles, 2 home runs, and 6 RBIs, and Nick Allen has a team-high 3 stolen bases this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a road win.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Blue Jays' last eight games.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against the Braves at Rogers Centre following a win.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Sean Murphy has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as road underdogs.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded an RBI in each of the Braves' last four road games against AL East opponents.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one Single in 11 of the Braves' last 12 night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous road appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against the Blue Jays.
• Alex Verdugo has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Marcell Ozuna ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.477) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this series looking to build some momentum after salvaging a win from their series against the Orioles with a 7-6 win in Sunday’s series finale to improve to 9-7 on the year. After this series, the Blue Jays will welcome the Seattle Mariners to town.

Blue Jays Avoid Sweep Vs. Orioles

George Springer has 18 hits, and Bo Bichette has 22 hits, with Springer adding 2 home runs, a triple, 3 doubles, and 10 RBIs while Bichette has 5 doubles and 10 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 14 hits with 3 doubles and a team-high 3 home runs and 8 RBIs this season, along with 5 stolen bases, while Anthony Santander has a team-high 18 strikeouts so far this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 4 doubles, while Springer also has a .375 batting average up to this point in the year.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Braves have lost each of their last 10 road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have won each of their last six home games against the Braves.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Ernie Clement has hit a home run in five of his last seven appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Blue Jays' last four games as favorites against the Braves.
• Andres Gimenez has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances.
• Myles Straw has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Myles Straw has recorded a Single in eight of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (22) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays' last seven games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Braves' last nine games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.

Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays here. I get the case to be made for Atlanta, as it feels like a matter of time before the Atlanta Braves turn things around after a slow start to the year. However, the Braves have really struggled on the road against lefties this season, and Lucas has been a pleasant surprise for this Blue Jays rotation out of the gate so far this season. I think the Blue Jays rally at home and start the series with a win, so give me Toronto in this one.