Rangers vs Mariners Prediction 4/11/25 MLB Picks

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 5-8 this year after they won two out of three against Houston by scores of 4-3, 1-2, and 7-6. In that game three win, the Mariners trailed 5-0 in the eighth inning, but they scored four in the eighth and three in the ninth for the dramatic win. Seattle recorded seven hits, and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Arozarena, who went 2-3 with one home run, five RBIs, and one walk. Seattle started Luis F. Castillo, who allowed six hits and three earned runs, while Lawrence allowed four hits and two earned runs but still got the win. 

Prior to that series, the Mariners were swept by the Giants and lost two out of three against the Tigers. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 44 runs with a .200 batting average and a .303 on-base percentage this season. Randy Arozarena has led Seattle with three home runs and nine RBIs, while Julio Rodriguez has added three home runs and seven RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryce Miller, who is 0-2 with a 5.73 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP over 11.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Rangers will beat the Mariners 

• The Rangers have won each of their last six games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have lost each of their last four games following a win.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games at T-Mobile Park following a home win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in four of their last five road games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home underdogs.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rangers' last 10 night games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the last three games between the Rangers and Mariners have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mariners' last 10 home games against AL West opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in seven of the Rangers' last nine games against American League opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
• Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mariners' last four home games against the Rangers.
• Randy Arozarena has recorded a Double in each of the Mariners' last three games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Dylan Moore has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Friday night appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Luke Raley has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Josh Jung has recorded a Single in each of his last eight Friday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Joc Pederson has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Wyatt Langford has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers' last eight night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Wyatt Langford has hit a home run in each of the Rangers' last three night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers' last eight night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

Rangers vs Mariners Prediction 

Seattle comes into this matchup after escaping with a dramatic series win over Houston, and maybe that will wake up their offense, which hasn’t been very good. On the other side, Texas has also struggled to score runs, but they have scored six runs in three of their last five games. The Rangers have the pitching advantage in this contest, as deGrom has looked very good through two starts, and I don’t have any faith in this Seattle offense, despite their last performance. Take Texas to get the game one win here.