New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction 4/2/25 MLB Picks

Miami Marlins (4-2) vs New York Mets (2-3)

Game Info: Wednesday, April 2, 2025 at 4:40 pm (loanDepot park)

C. Holmes (R) vs C. Gillispie (R)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +164 / New York Mets -198 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.TV

In this article, we will formulate a New York Mets vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 2nd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 2-3 this year after they lost to Miami by a score of 4-2 in game two of this series. New York tied the game at two in the third inning, but they weren’t able to score any more runs in the game for the loss. The Mets recorded five hits in the game, but they did commit two errors while being led by Lindor and Nimmo, who both had one RBI. New York started Senga on the mound, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Kranick allowed zero earned runs and zero hits over 3.0 innings to finish the game. New York did win game one by a score of 10-4 on Monday. 

Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three games against the Astros by scores of 1-3, 3-1, and 1-2. The New York pitching staff has a 2.36 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP and a .184 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 17 runs with a .179 batting average and a .275 on-base percentage this year. Pete Alonso has led New York with one home run and four RBIs, while Brandon Nimmo has added two home runs and three RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clay Holmes, who is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.93 WHIP over 4.2 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 4-2 this season after they won game two in this series by a score of 4-2 on Tuesday. Miami led 2-0 in the first inning on a Stowers home run, but they needed a two RBI double in the fourth to get the win. The Marlins recorded three hits in the game, and they were led by Stowers and Pauley, who both had two RBIs in the win. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Bender picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins won three out of four against the Pirates by scores of 5-4, 3-4, 5-4, and 3-2. The Miami pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .201 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 24 runs with a .232 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage this season. Otto Lopez has led Miami with two home runs and six RBIs, while Kyle Stowers has added one home run and four RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Connor Gillispie, who is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP over 5.0 innings of work this year. 

Why the Marlins will beat the Mets 

  • The Marlins have won six of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs.
  • The Mets have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games against National League opponents.

Why the Mets will beat the Marlins 

  • The Mets have won 11 of their last 12 games against the Marlins following a road loss.
  • The Marlins have lost 10 of their last 11 home games against the Mets following a home win.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Wednesday day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against National League opponents.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games at LoanDepot Park against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mets' last four day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Three of the last four games between the Mets and Marlins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last nine home games against NL East opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in seven of the Mets' last eight games against National League opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Otto Lopez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins' last three home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Marlins' last six games as underdogs.
  • Otto Lopez has scored a run in four of the Marlins' last five games as home underdogs.
  • Jonah Bride has recorded at least one Single in five of the Marlins' last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in four of the Mets' last five games as favorites against the Marlins.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Mets as favorites against the Marlins.
  • Jesse Winker has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances against the Marlins.
  • Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets' last eight games at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction 

Miami was able to bounce back after a rough game one in this series with a nice win in game two, as they got a very solid effort from their pitching staff. The Marlins will start Gillispie in this game, who allowed four hits and three earned runs against Pittsburgh in his first start. New York has alternated wins and losses over their first five games of the season, and their offense has scored two runs or fewer in all three of their losses. Clay Holmes will be on the mound for New York, but he allowed quite a few baserunners in his first start. I don’t love either pitcher in this matchup, and I think both teams can get to the bullpens, so give me the over here. 

David’s Pick Over 8.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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