Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction 3/28/25 MLB Picks

Texas Rangers (0-1) vs Boston Red Sox (1-0)

Game Info: Friday, March 28, 2025 at 8:05 pm (Globe Life Field)

Tanner Houck (R) vs Jack Leiter (R)

Betting Odds: Texas Rangers +100 / Boston Red Sox -120 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: NESN

The Boston Red Sox and Texas Rangers meet on Friday in MLB action at the Globe Life Field. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction. This article will include a Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox will play the Orioles and Cardinals after this series. The Red Sox got four shutout innings from their bullpen and two homers from Wilyer Abreu to steal an opening day win on the road. The Red Sox have been a trendy pick to make a World Series run, and they looked sharp across the board in their first effort. There's obviously endless baseball left to be played, but complete performances like that are what you’re looking for from a team that can make a run. The Red Sox now look to start 2-0 for the first time since the 2017 season. Abreu leads the Red Sox with three hits and 4 RBI, while Jarren Duran and Krisitan Campbell have combined for two hits and one walk.

Tanner Houck gets the ball for the Red Sox, and he was 9-10 with a 3.12 ERA and 154 strikeouts last season. Houck is 0-1 with a 5.30 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Rangers.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers will play the Reds and Rays after this series. The Rangers couldn’t close the deal in their season opener, as they left six guys on base and were 1-5 with runners in scoring position. Luke Jackson also allowed three runs out of the bullpen, which isn’t a great start for his new team. The bullpen was an issue for the Rangers last season, and it didn’t take long to give the fanbase flashbacks. The Rangers look to avoid their first 0-2 start since the 2022 season. Josh Jung leads the Rangers with two hits, while Kevin Pillar and Kyle Higashioka have combined for three hits and two RBIs.

Jack Leiter gets the ball for the Rangers, and he was 0-3 with an 8.83 ERA and 31 strikeouts last season. This will be Leiter’s first career game against the Red Sox.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
  • The underdogs have won nine of the Red Sox's last 13 games.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Rangers following a road win.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against AL East opponents.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have won 16 of their last 17 Friday games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have lost each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Friday night games at Globe Life Field.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six Friday night games against the Rangers.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Friday night home games.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction

This line being this soft is surprising. The Red Sox are not only the better team on paper, but this pitching matchup isn’t fair. Houck is coming off an all-star appearance and has a WHIP of just under 1.2 throughout his five-year career. Leiter has just 35.2 innings under his belt for his career and they haven’t been good. Through those frames, Leiter has allowed seven homers and walked 17 while hitting three batters. Until further notice, Leiter isn’t a real MLB starter. Of course, things can change and the sample size isn’t large enough to make a concrete verdict, but the play here has to be the Red Sox and the cheap price.

Randy’s Pick Boston Red Sox -120

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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