Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 3/27/25 MLB Picks

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays were 74-88 last year, and they finished dead last in the AL East, which was 20 games behind the Yankees. Toronto didn’t have much luck in the 2024 season, and they were ninth in the American League, only in front of the A’s, Angels, and White Sox. The Blue Jays really fell apart at the end of the season, as they lost 10 of their final 12 games. On a positive note, Toronto went 18-10 during Spring Training, which was first in the Grapefruit League. The Blue Jays finished the Spring by winning each of their last four games and six of their last eight. 

Last year, the Toronto pitching staff had a 4.29 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays' offense scored 671 runs with a .241 batting average and a .313 on-base percentage last season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. led Toronto with a .323 batting average, 30 home runs, and 103 RBIs in the 2024 season. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Berrios, who was 16-11 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 192.1 innings pitched last year.

Why the Orioles will beat the Blue Jays 

• The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine day games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have won five of their last six road games.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 Thursday day home games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three home games.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in each of their last three games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Blue Jays' last eight games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles' last four day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last seven games against AL East opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last five day games at Rogers Centre.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in season openers against AL East opponents.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays' last five games against AL opponents at Rogers Centre.
• Jose Berrios has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as home underdogs.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents at Rogers Centre.
• Bo Bichette has scored at least one run in each of the Blue Jays' last four home openers against AL opponents.
• Jose Berrios has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine home appearances against the Orioles.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances at Rogers Centre.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Tyler O'Neill has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances with his team as a favorite in season openers.
• Zach Eflin has recorded four or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 16 appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.
• Cedric Mullins has scored a run in seven of his last eight road appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles' last six road games against AL opponents.
• Zach Eflin has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Orioles as road favorites.
• Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against the Blue Jays.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this season looking to replicate their success from 2024 but also trying to bounce back from an ugly postseason series against Kansas City. The Orioles fell just short in their quest for an AL East title, but they should have another very good team this season. Toronto had a disappointing season last year, and they will turn to Berrios to try and start 2025 with a win. The Blue Jays need to find more consistent offense this year, as they were just 23rd in the MLB in runs scored last season. This should be a great AL East battle to open the season, but I have to side with Baltimore, as I don’t trust the Toronto offense at all to start the season.