Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 6/27/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Pirates Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, June 27th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 41-41 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 22-21 home record and are coming off a 4-6 home defeat against the Reds. They will face the Phillies and the Nationals next.

The Pirates have a .257 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .413 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in RBI with 52, while Brandon Lowe adds a team-high 19 home runs.

Jared Jones (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 1-1 record, 5.75 ERA and 1.52 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds have a 38-42 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 19-20 road record and are coming off a 6-4 road win against the Pirates. They will face the Brewers and the Orioles next.

The Reds have a .226 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .389 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .273 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 55, adding a team-high 14 home runs.

Chase Burns (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 9-1 record, 2.00 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: June 27, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 5.75
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Reds: 0-1

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Reds have lost each of their last seven games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Pirates have won 12 of their last 13 games as home underdogs against the Reds following a home loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as home underdogs against the Reds following a home loss.
• The Pirates have won the first inning in four of their last five games against the Reds.
• The Pirates have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home day games.
• The Pirates have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Chase Burns      Record this season: 9-1      ERA: 2.00
• Road Record: 4-0
• Last 5 against Pirates: 1-0

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The road team has won each of the Reds’ last six games.
• The Pirates have lost 11 of their last 12 home games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Pirates’ last 11 games as underdogs against the Reds have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Reds’ last nine games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 11 of the Pirates’ last 12 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 16 games.
• Henry Davis has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Pirates as home underdogs.
• Bryan Reynolds ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.402) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games.
• Chase Burns has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances.
• Blake Dunn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
• Chase Burns has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
• Chase Burns ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (730).
• The Pirates rank T3rd in the league for runs scored this season (413).
• The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (607).
• The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.226).

Reds vs Pirates Prediction

The Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Reds and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Pittsburgh.

In this Reds vs Pirates Prediction, the Reds are coming as -120 road favorites. If the Pirates cannot win with Skenes on the mound, I certainly don’t trust them to win with Jared Jones and his 5.75 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. He will go up against a red-hot Chase Burns who has been elite this season and has a 4-0 record on the road and a 2.01 ERA. Take the Reds to win this one on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Cincinnati Reds ML