Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB Picks 9/25/24

Pick details

Detroit Tigers (82-74) vs Tampa Bay Rays (78-78)

September 25, 2024 at 06:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers -109 / Tampa Bay Rays -109 — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Detroit Tigers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Comerica Park. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Rays vs Tigers pick. We will examine:

The Tampa Bay Rays’ recent form and player performance

The Detroit Tigers’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Rays

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Tigers

Recent betting trends in games played between the Rays and Tigers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Rays vs Tigers game

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Rays played the rival Toronto Blue Jays last weekend and did well. Tampa Bay took a sweep in that series with wins 1-0, 3-2, and 4-3. On Tuesday versus the Tigers, the Rays could only muster three hits in a 2-1 loss. Starter Ryan Pepiot put up 5.0 innings and two earned runs.

The starter for Wednesday will be Tampa Bay’s Zack Littell. This year Littell is 8-9 with a 3.56 ERA in 28 starts. Over 201 career games (46 starts) Littell is 24-20 with a 3.89 ERA.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

Over on the Detroit side, they lost to the Baltimore Orioles back on Friday but won both weekend games 6-4 and 4-3. On Tuesday Detroit only had three hits as well. Tarik Skubal was great on 7.0 clean frames, two hits, one walk, and seven Ks.

The starter for the Tigers on Wednesday is Keider Montero. In 2024 Montero is 6-6 with a 4.86 ERA in the first 17 games (15 starts) of his MLB career.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rays’ last seven night games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Tigers’ last six home games against American League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last 10 games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last three home games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Riley Greene has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Riley Greene has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Javier Baez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Tigers against AL opponents.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Tigers’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last two games against the Tigers at Comerica Park.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last eight road appearances against the Tigers.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances in night games.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one total base in eight of his last nine appearances in night games.
  • Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Tigers.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Rays. Over his last three starts, Littell is on a tear. He’s 3-0 in that trio with zero earned in 18.0 total innings on six hits and one walk. As for Montero, he gave up five in 4.2 innings in Baltimore his last time up but had 14.0 clean frames in a pair of wins prior to that.

On Tuesday the Rays could only find the scoreboard on a Brandon Lowe solo homer in the ninth. Otherwise, it was a couple of RBI given up to Wenceel Perez in the fifth inning in a good pitching effort. Tampa Bay has to get the bats going Wednesday but I think they’ll look better offensively.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -109

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