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Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction MLB Picks 9/25/24
Pick details
New York Yankees (92-64) vs Baltimore Orioles (86-70)
September 25, 2024 at 07:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -139 / Baltimore Orioles +118 — Over/Under: 8
The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees meet Wednesday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Baltimore Orioles will send out Zach Eflin for the start here and Eflin is 10-9 with a 3.53 ERA and 133 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, Eflin is 1-3 with a 2.10 ERA and 33 strikeouts. Nestor Cortes will get the start for the Yankees here and is 9-10 with a 3.77 ERA and 162 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Orioles, Cortes is 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 33 strikeouts.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles come into this one looking to build on their series-opening 5-3 win over the Yankees from Tuesday’s matchup. The win put the Orioles in a good spot to bounce back and snap their series losing streak which includes sets against the Tigers and Giants over the last two weeks.
Orioles Clinch Playoff Spot
Entering Tuesday, Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 173 hits, along with 37 home runs, 89 RBIs, and 7 triples but also has a team-high 155 strikeouts in addition to 21 stolen bases. Adley Rutschman has 138 hits with 19 home runs and 77 RBIs in addition to 20 doubles while Anthony Santander has 24 doubles with 43 home runs and 99 RBIs. Colton Cowser has 23 doubles and Ryan Mountcastle has 29 doubles and Jordan Westburg has 26 doubles. Cedric Mullins has also contributed a team-high 30 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Orioles and Yankees.
- The Yankees have lost four of their last six games as favorites against the Orioles following a home loss.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against AL East opponents.
New York Yankees Recap
The New York Yankees come into this one looking to bounce back after starting the series on the wrong foot with their loss to the Orioles in Tuesday’s matchup. The loss was not a great start for a Yankees team trying to keep their series win streak going which included series wins over the A’s, Mariners, and Red Sox over the last two weeks.
Yankees Looking To Lock Up Home Field
Going into Tuesday, Juan Soto has 160 hits along with 31 doubles and 40 home runs with 104 RBIs to go along with a .287 batting average and .418 OBP. Aaron Judge has a team-high 55 home runs and 138 RBIs of his own along with a team-leading 36 doubles while also posting 165 strikeouts so far this season. Anthony Volpe added 154 hits with 12 home runs, 7 triples, 59 RBIs, and a team-high 27 stolen bases as well this season. Alex Verdugo has 28 doubles and 58 RBIs and Giancarlo Stanton also has 26 home runs, 68 RBIs, and 135 strikeouts this season.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last seven road games following a win.
- The Yankees have won each of their last six games against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games following a road win.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction
I’m on the under in this one. This is going to be a fantastic pitching matchup between Eflin, who has been money since joining the Orioles at the trade deadline, and Cortes, who has pitched his best baseball at home, to begin with and has been on quite the run of form over the last month or so. All in all, I think we have a great game lined up here but I think it’s going to be a pitcher’s duel. Give me the under here.