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Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 9/25/24
Pick details
Minnesota Twins (81-75) vs Miami Marlins (57-99)
September 25, 2024 at 07:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -217 / Miami Marlins +181 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins meet Wednesday in MLB game 2 action at Target Field. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Prediction. This article will include a Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Pick.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 58-99 on the year after playing the Dodgers and Braves. The Miami Marlins have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 games. The Miami Marlins have split their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jake Burger leads the Miami Marlins with 125 hits and 69 RBI while Jesus Sanchez and Otto Lopez have combined for 218 hits and 100 RBI.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 81-76 on the year after playing the Guardians and Red Sox. The Minnesota Twins have scored 5 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Minnesota Twins have lost 12 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 136 hits and 59 RBI while Carlos Santana and Jose Miranda have combined for 232 hits and 114 RBI.
Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Pick Matchup
Edward Cabrera gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 4-8 with a 5.12 ERA and 102 strikeouts this season. Cabrera has allowed 8 hits and 7 earned runs in his last 15.1 innings. Cabrera has a 5.71 ERA and a .247 allowed batting average in 41 road innings. This will be Cabrera’s first career game against the Minnesota Twins.
Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 5-5 with a 4.00 ERA and 115 strikeouts this season. Richardson has allowed 19 hits and 9 runs in his last 15.2 innings. Richardson has a 3.90 ERA and a .207 allowed batting average in 62.1 home innings. This will be Richardson’s first career game against the Miami Marlins.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last eight night games following a road win.
- The Twins have won four of their last five home games following a home loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a road win.
- The Twins have covered the run line in three of their last four home games after playing the previous day.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Carlos Correa has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents at Target Field.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances at Target Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Carlos Correa has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
- Willi Castro has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last six home games against NL opponents.
- Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in five of his last six home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Kepler has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jonah Bride has recorded an RBI in three of the Marlins’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins’ last five night games.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Marlins’ last nine games.
- Jonah Bride has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents.
- Jonah Bride has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
- Jonah Bride has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games as road underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Minnesota Twins rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1426).
- The Minnesota Twins rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (411).
- The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (4.84).
- The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for runs allowed this season (819).
Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
This price is insane when you consider the Minnesota Twins losing stretch and them looking more and more like a team that doesn’t want to make the playoffs. However, the Miami Marlins suck and Edward Cabrera hasn’t been good this season despite being a young pitcher with above-average stuff. If the Twins can’t win this game to stay in the wild-card race, it’s an absolute embarrassment. I’ll take the Twins and the RL for max betting value, but their recent efforts have been disgusting.
