Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 8/3/24

Braves Continue to Close the Gap on the Phillies 

The Atlanta Braves are 60-49 this season and they have won four games in a row. Atlanta has won the first two games in this series by scores of 4-2 and 5-3. Prior to this series, the Braves won two out of three against the Brewers, split four games with the Mets, and lost both games against the Reds. Atlanta is 6-1 in their last seven games and they are second in the NL Central. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 464 runs with a .239 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .300 with 31 home runs and 85 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta has scored at least five runs in three of their last four games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Kyle Tyler, who is 0-2 with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP over 24.2 innings pitched this year. Tyler has allowed seven earned runs in his last two starts (8.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Grant Holmes, who is 0-0 with a 2.54 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP over 28.1 innings pitched this season. Holmes allowed one earned run and three hits over five innings in his last start against the Brewers. 

Why the Braves will beat the Marlins

• The Marlins have lost each of their last nine night games against the Braves at Truist Park following a loss.
• The Braves have won each of their last eight home games against the Marlins.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Truist Park against teams that held a winning record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves' last six home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Marlins' last five games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last five road games.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last four home games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in three of the Braves' last four games against NL East opponents.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 21 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves' last four games against NL opponents.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Braves' last six Saturday night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Harris has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jake Burger has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Braves at Truist Park.
• Jake Burger has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins' last six night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Braves at Truist Park.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one Single in four of the Marlins' last five night games.
• Jake Burger has scored a run in four of the Marlins' last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last seven games against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 

Atlanta rolls into this game on a four game winning streak and they are starting to close the gap with the Phillies in the NL East. Atlanta is 32-21 at home this year, while Miami is 18-36 on the road. The Marlins have one of the worst team ERA’s in the MLB, while also being one of the lowest scoring teams. Miami is going with Kyle Tyler, who has allowed quite a few baserunners in limited action. Atlanta is starting Holmes, who pitched very well in his last start. The Braves are the way better team in this matchup and they should have no issues scoring runs early off of Tyler, which should cover any issues Holmes has. My Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves prediction is for the Braves to win by at least two runs.