San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 8/3/24

Reds Drop to Last in Central 

The Cincinnati Reds are 52-57 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Cincinnati lost the first game in this series on Friday night, as they did not record a hit in the game. Prior to this series, the Reds won two out of three against the Cubs, lost two out of three against the Rays, and won both games against the Braves. Cincinnati is 5-4 in their last nine games and they are last in the NL Central. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 477 runs with a .228 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .259 with 18 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has scored three runs or fewer in four of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Kyle Harrison, who is 6-4 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 97.2 innings pitched this season. Harrison has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Hunter Greene, who is 7-4 with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 124.1 innings pitched this season. Greene has allowed one earned run in his last four starts. 

Why the Reds will beat the Giants

• The Giants have lost each of their last five road games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The favorites have won each of the Giants' last six games at Great American Ball Park.
• The Reds have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Giants have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against National League opponents following a road win.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between the Giants and Reds have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Giants' last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Reds' last five games against NL West opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Giants' last four night games against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Reds as favorites.
• Hunter Greene has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Hunter Greene has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
• Tyler Stephenson has hit at least one home run in each of the Reds' last three games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded an RBI in each of the Reds' last four games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with the Reds as favorites.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Reds as favorites.
• Ty France has scored a run in six of his last seven appearances against the Giants.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

• Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Wilmer Flores has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Reds at Great American Ball Park.
• Casey Schmitt has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents.
• Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents.
• Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Thairo Estrada has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 

San Francisco comes into this matchup after Snell threw a no-hitter on Friday night, and they are playing very well over the last ten days. The Giants are just 22-33 on the road, while the Reds are 27-30 at home. Cincinnati is five games under .500, but they have had a pretty decent pitching staff. The Reds are starting Hunter Greene, who has been very good in his last five outings. The Giants are turning towards Kyle Harrison, who has also pitched well recently. I think we could see a lower scoring game here, but I am going to give the slight edge to Greene and the Reds. My San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds prediction is for the Reds to win.