Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 7/13/24

Red Sox Trying to Catch New York 

The Boston Red Sox are 51-42 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Boston lost the first game in this series and allowed six runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Athletics, won two out of three against the Yankees, and swept the Marlins in three games. Boston is 8-3 in their last 11 games and they are third in the AL East.  

The Boston pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 436 runs with a .253 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .252 with 11 home runs and 52 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has allowed at least five runs in three of their last four games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 11-3 with a 2.21 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 122.0 innings pitched this year. Lugo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Kutter Crawford, who is 5-7 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 105.2 innings pitched this season. Crawford has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. 

Why the Royals will beat the Red Sox

• The Royals have won seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have lost six of their last seven day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Royals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox's last four home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Royals' last six road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last four games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last three games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in nine of the Red Sox's last 12 games as favorites.
• Rafael Devers has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox's last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Triston Casas has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances against the Royals.
• Triston Casas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six appearances against the Royals.
• Connor Wong has recorded a Single in 10 of his last 11 home appearances.
• Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances against the Royals.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Seth Lugo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances in day games.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals' last 11 games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Seth Lugo has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games.
• MJ Melendez has hit at least one home run in three of the Royals' last four games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals' last eight games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Isbel has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances with the Royals as underdogs against the Red Sox.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in nine of the Royals' last 10 games.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Royals' last 14 games against AL East opponents.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals' last seven games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.

Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 

Boston has been one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last two months, but they continue to be under .500 at home this season. The Red Sox are third in the AL East and they are closing the gap on the Yankees in second. Kansas City is not a very good road team and they are falling back in the race for the AL Central. This is a pretty solid pitching matchup, but Seth Lugo has been one of the best hurlers in the AL in the first half of the season. My Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox prediction is for the Royals to get the win.