Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 7/11/24

New York Mets (45-45) vs Washington Nationals (42-50)

Game Info: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 1:10 pm (Citi Field)

David Peterson (3-0) (3.58) vs MacKenzie Gore (6-7) (4.12)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -128 / Washington Nationals +109 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Washington Nationals and New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB game 3 action at Citi Field. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Pick.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 42-51 on the year and play the Brewers and Reds next. The Washington Nationals have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Washington Nationals have lost 7 of their last 10 games when scoring 4 or more runs. CJ Abrams leads the Washington Nationals with 92 hits and 46 RBI, while Luis Garcia Jr. and Jesse Winker have combined for 157 hits and 85 RBI.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 46-45 on the year and play the Rockies and Marlins next. The New York Mets have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 11 games. The New York Mets have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 93 hits and 48 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 165 hits and 107 RBI.

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Pitching Pick Matchup

MacKenzie Gore gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 6-7 with a 3.83 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. Gore has allowed 11 hits and 6 runs in his last 9 innings. Gore has a 3.31 ERA and .230 allowed batting average in 32.2 road innings. Gore is 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

David Peterson gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 3-0 with a 3.58 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Peterson has allowed 12 hits and 4 runs in his last 10.2 innings. Peterson has a 4.40 ERA and .305 allowed batting average in 14.1 home innings. Peterson is 4-1 with a 3.44 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.

Why the New York Mets will Beat the Nationals

  • The Mets have won each of their last seven home games against National League opponents.
  • The Nationals have lost seven of their last eight road games.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The home team has covered the run line in each of the Mets' last four games.
  • The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against the Nationals at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in each of the Mets' last three games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets' last four games against NL opponents.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in each of the Mets' last six home games against NL opponents.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a favorite against the Nationals.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Keibert Ruiz has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
  • CJ Abrams has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Nationals' last six day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Keibert Ruiz has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
  • MacKenzie Gore has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances with the Nationals as underdogs.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine road appearances against the Mets.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against the Mets.
  • Luis Garcia has recorded a Double in each of the Nationals' last three games as road underdogs against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets rank 4th in the league for doubles this season (168).
  • The New York Mets rank T26th in the league for triples this season (9).
  • The Washington Nationals rank 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.368).
  • The Washington Nationals rank T26th in the league for triples this season (9).

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction

You can make a case for the Nationals and the plus money because MacKenzie Gore has been solid this season. The problem is we're not getting enough bang for our buck. The New York Mets are playing their best ball of the season, as they're now a game above a .500 record, and David Peterson has more than held his own. The price is more than reasonable. Give me the Mets and the cheap price.

Randy’s Pick New York Mets -128

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 7/20/24 | Ron's Rundown

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