Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 7/11/24

Cincinnati Reds (44-49) vs Colorado Rockies (33-60)

Game Info: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 1:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Hunter Greene (5-4) (3.45) vs Austin Gomber (2-5) (4.47)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -213 / Colorado Rockies +177 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 11th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game four in the series, we will examine:

  • The Rockies recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Reds recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Colorado
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Colorado and Cincinnati
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Colorado and Cincinnati

Rockies Snapped Small Losing Skid 

The Colorado Rockies are 33-60 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Colorado lost the first two games in this series, but they did win game three by a score of 6-5 on Wednesday. Prior to this series, the Rockies won two out of three against the Royals, split four games with the Brewers, and lost two out of three against the White Sox. Colorado is 6-5 in their last 11 games and they are last in the NL West. 

The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.55 ERA, a 1.54 WHIP, and a .289 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 385 runs with a .245 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .274 with 14 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. Colorado has allowed at least five runs in four straight games and they are last in the MLB in team ERA this year. 

Reds Going for the Series Win 

The Cincinnati Reds are 44-49 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Cincinnati won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-0 and 12-6, but they did lose game three. Prior to this series, the Reds lost all three against the Tigers, swept the Yankees in three games, and split four games with the Cardinals. Cincinnati is 5-4 in their last nine games and they are tied for fourth in the NL Central. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 405 runs with a .228 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .250 with 15 home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has allowed at least five runs in five of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Austin Gomber, who is 2-5 with a 4.47 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 94.2 innings pitched this year. Gomber has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Hunter Greene, who is 5-4 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 104.1 innings pitched this season. Greene has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. 

Why the Reds will beat the Rockies

  • The Reds have won each of their last 10 games as home favorites against the Rockies following a home loss.
  • The Rockies have lost each of their last six road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Rockies.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against National League opponents following a road win.

Total Runs Facts

  • Four of the Rockies' last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Ten of the Reds' last 13 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Reds' last seven home games.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rockies' last seven games as road underdogs.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded a Double in four of the Reds' last five games against the Rockies at Great American Ball Park.
  • Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Rockies.
  • Jonathan India has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
  • Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.
  • Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in each of his five previous appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds' last nine games as favorites against the Rockies.
  • TJ Friedl has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rockies' last five games.
  • Kris Bryant has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances at Great American Ball Park.
  • Austin Gomber has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Elias Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Kris Bryant has hit at least one home run in three of his last six road appearances against the Reds.
  • Charlie Blackmon has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances against NL opponents.

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 

Colorado was able to pick up the win in game three of this series on Wednesday, but they have been terrible on the road this season and their pitching staff has the worst team ERA in the MLB. The Rockies are 13-33 on the road, while the Reds are 22-27 at home. Cincinnati is trying to stay out of last place in the NL Central, but they need to find some better pitching, as they have been pretty bad over the last six games. The Reds are starting Hunter Greene, who has been very good in recent outings and I think he will have another solid outing against a below average Colorado lineup. My Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds prediction is for the Reds to win by at least two runs. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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