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Oakland Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 7/9/24
Pick details
Boston Red Sox (49-40) vs Oakland Athletics (34-58)
July 9, 2024 at 07:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -175 / Oakland Athletics +148 — Over/Under: 9.5
The Oakland A’s and the Boston Red Sox meet Tuesday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Oakland Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Oakland A’s will send out Joey Estes for the start here and Estes is 3-3 with a 4.39 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. This will be Estes’ first career start against Boston. Brayan Bello will get the nod for Boston here and is 8-5 with a 5.19 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bello is 0-1 with a 10.00 ERA and 9 strikeouts against Oakland.
Oakland A’s Recap
The Oakland A’s come into this one looking to rebound after suffering a series loss at the hands of the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend thanks to a 6-3 loss in Sunday’s rubber match. The loss meant the A’s wouldn’t be able to build on their series sweep of the Angels from this time last week.
A’s Looking To Finish First Half On A High Note
Brent Rooker leads the A’s with 54 RBIs along with 18 home runs this season while Abraham Toro has 72 hits and 24 RBIs. JJ Bleday has a team-high 22 doubles, 3 triples, 76 hits and 31 RBIs and Toro has a .260 batting average. Rooker also has the unfortunate title of leading strikeout bat with 104 K’s at the dish this season. Shea Langeliers has also chipped in 17 home runs and 46 RBIs.
Why the Oakland Athletics will win
- The Red Sox have lost 10 of their last 11 Tuesday games as home favorites.
- The Athletics have won three of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games following a road win.
- The Athletics have covered the run line each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
Boston Red Sox Recap
The Boston Red Sox come into this one looking to build on their series win over the Yankees after picking up a 3-0 win over New York in Sunday’s series finale. The triumph gave the Red Sox back-to-back series wins after sweeping the Miami Marlins this time last week in the series prior.
Red Sox Trying To Make Up Ground In AL East
Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 103 hits along with 21 stolen bases, 24 doubles, 10 triples and 92 strikeouts and also has 40 RBIs so far this season. Wilyer Abreu has 17 doubles and Ceddanne Rafaela also has 50 RBIs while Rafael Devers has 85 hits with 16 doubles, 21 home runs, 55 RBIs and a .293 batting average this season. Tyler O’Neill also has 16 home runs and 30 RBIs as well while David Hamilton has a team-high 23 stolen bases this season.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Athletics have lost each of their last nine road games against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have won each of their last 10 games as home favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games.
Oakland Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
I’m on the over here. I don’t trust either starting option here. Sure, Estes had a great start against the Angels, posting a complete game, but overall this season it’s been more downs than ups for Estes. On the other side, Bello is supposed to be one of Boston’s more trustworthy arms, but he’s been shaky in a lot of his recent starts and all in all, I think we have a high-scoring game here. Give me the over.