New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 7/9/24

The New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Tuesday in MLB action from Tropicana Field. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The New York Yankees recent form and player performance

The Tampa Bay Rays recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Rays

Recent betting trends in games played between the Yankees and Rays

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Yankees vs Rays game

New York Yankees Betting Preview

New York faced the rival Boston Red Sox in a weekend series at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees suffered another pair of embarrassing showings in two of the three games (losses 5-3 and 3-0) despite a blowout win 14-4 on Saturday. In Sunday’s loss, New York could muster only four team hits.

For the starter slot on Tuesday the Yankees will go with Carlos Rodon. This year Rodon is 9-6 with a 4.45 ERA in 18 starts. Rodon is 68-60 with a 3.89 ERA in 184 career games (179 starts).

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

Over on the Rays’ side, they’re coming off a weekend series versus the Texas Rangers. Tampa Bay lost all three of those games 3-0, 4-3 and 13-2 for a sweep. In Sunday’s defeat the Rays’ Zack Littell gave up seven earned on nine hits and a walk in 4.0 innings as starter.

Starting pitcher for Tuesday’s matchup will be Ryan Pepiot. This year so far Pepiot is 4-5 with a 4.40 ERA in 15 starts. In 32 career games (25 starts) Pepiot is 9-6 with a 3.56 ERA overall.

Yankees vs Rays Pick Injury Notes

Yankees 2B Gleyber Torres (groin) was out of the lineup Sunday.

Rays RP Richard Lovelady (forearm) began a rehab assignment Monday.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last six road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the last four games between the Yankees and Rays at Tropicana Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last seven road games against American League opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Yankees at Tropicana Field.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rays’ last four night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 11 games at Tropicana Field against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays’ last four games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rays’ last 11 games at Tropicana Field against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances against the Yankees at Tropicana Field.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Yankees’ last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jon Berti has recorded a Double in three of his four previous road appearances against the Rays after not playing the previous day.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in three of his four previous road appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.
• DJ LeMahieu has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Tuesday night appearances against AL East teams that held a losing record.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

I’ll go with the Rays. Pepiot has put up some decent numbers lately despite not getting a victory for a while. Over his last three starts Pepiot has given up five earned in 12.2 innings on eight hits and nine walks. As for Rodon, he’s got 18 earned in his last three starts over 14.0 innings combined, going 0-3 in that time.

The Yankees are flailing right now due to injuries and sour performances. It seems like ages since they’ve won a series. It seems like New York is more apt to continue struggling than they are to turn things around, even against a fairly mediocre Rays squad.