Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 7/7/24

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Minnesota Twins (49-39) vs Houston Astros (46-42)

July 7, 2024 at 02:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -132 / Houston Astros +111 — Over/Under: 8.5

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The Houston Astros and Minnesota Twins meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Target Field. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction. This article will include a Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Pick.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 46-43 on the year and play the Marlins and Rangers next. The Houston Astros have scored 21 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Houston Astros have won 13 of their last 14 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 111 hits and 40 RBI, while Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Pena have combined for 191 hits and 90 RBI.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 50-39 on the year and play the Giants and White Sox next. The Minnesota Twins have scored 33 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 7 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 85 hits and 29 RBI, while Carlos Correa and Jose Miranda have combined for 159 hits and 88 RBI.

Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Pick Matchup

Spencer Arrighetti gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 4-7 with a 6.13 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. Arrighetti has allowed 9 hits and 6 earned runs in his last 11 innings. Arrighetti has a 7.12 ERA and .295 allowed batting average in 36.2 road innings. This will be Arrighetti’s first career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 3-1 with a 3.52 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. Richardson has allowed 8 hits and 6 runs in his last 11 innings. Richardson has a 3.69 ERA and .198 allowed batting average in 31.2 home innings. This will be Richardson’s second career game against the Houston Astros.

Why the Minnesota Twins will Beat the Astros

  • The Twins have won each of their last six day games against AL West opponents.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Carlos Correa has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents at Target Field.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Twins’ last four games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • Max Kepler has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Twins’ last six games at Target Field against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Twins as favorites.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last nine games as favorites.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last nine games as favorites.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Bregman has recorded a Double in three of the Astros’ last four day games.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Astros’ last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Astros’ last five games against the Twins.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last nine day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Tucker has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

The Houston Astros and plus money is worth a look with the way they’re playing lately, but I just can’t get behind Spencer Arrighetti and his 6.13 ERA. The Minnesota Twins are on fire offensively at the moment, and they should be drooling about facing Arrighetti and his struggles. Simeon Woods Richardson has been far and away more consistent this season, and he’s even better at home, where he’s allowing a less than .200 batting average. The price is more than reasonable. Give me the Twins to win game 3 against the Astros. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Minnesota Twins -132

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