San Francisco Giants vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 7/7/24

Pick details

Cleveland Guardians (54-32) vs San Francisco Giants (44-45)

July 7, 2024 at 01:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -132 / San Francisco Giants +111 — Over/Under: 8.5

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The San Francisco Giants and the Cleveland Guardians meet Sunday in MLB action from Progressive Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Francisco Giants vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Francisco Giants will send out Hayden Birdsong here and is 1-0 with a 4.66 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. This will be Birdsong’s first career start against Cleveland. The Cleveland Guardians will start Carlos Carrasco here and Carrasco is 3-6 with a 5.21 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Giants, Carrasco is 1-1 with a 3.41 ERA and 30 strikeouts.

San Francisco Giants Recap

The San Francisco Giants come into this one looking to win the rubber match of the series after falling short on Saturday by a final score of 5-4, evening the series up at one win apiece. The loss put the Giants’ series win streak in jeopardy after series wins over the Braves, Dodgers and Cubs over the last two weeks.

Giants Trying To Keep Momentum Alive

Entering Saturday’s matchup, Thairo Estrada has 68 hits along with a team-high 9 home runs and 39 RBIs while also chipping in 14 doubles. Michael Conforto has 53 hits with 9 home runs, 13 doubles and 31 RBIs while Matt Chapman has 80 hits of his own alongside 23 doubles with 12 homers, 42 RBIs and 7 stolen bases. Chapman also has the dubious distinction of leading the Giants with 87 strikeouts this season.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

  • The Guardians have lost each of their last eight games against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The Giants have won each of their last three games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against NL West opponents following a home win.
  • The road team has covered the run line in each of the last eight games between the Giants and Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Recap

The Cleveland Guardians come into this one looking to win the set after tying the series with Saturday’s victory. The win gives the Guardians a chance at back-to-back series wins after their series win over the White Sox to start the week.

Guardians Trying To Create Distance In AL Central

Going into Saturday, Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 91 hits as well as 23 home runs and 76 RBIs while Josh Naylor also has 21 home runs and 64 RBIs of his own. Ramirez has a team-high 17 doubles while Tyler Freeman has 12 doubles and Andres Gimenez has 41 RBIs with 14 stolen bases while the aforementioned Ramirez has a team-high 16 stolen bases on the year.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Giants have lost each of their last seven Sunday road games.
  • The Guardians have won each of their last four day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven Sunday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

San Francisco Giants vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

I’m on the Guardians here. I just can’t get there with Birdsong and while I don’t love Carrasco as a starter, I think he can be good enough here to get the game to the Cleveland bullpen which has been lights out for the majority of the season and has been strong in this series as well. Not one I’m rushing to bet, but Give me Cleveland here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Cleveland -132

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