Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB Picks 6/16/24

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Seattle Mariners (42-31) vs Texas Rangers (33-37)

June 16, 2024 at 04:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -140 / Texas Rangers +120 — Over/Under: 7.5

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In this article we will formulate a Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 16th at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Rangers recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Mariners recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Texas
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Seattle
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Texas and Seattle
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Texas and Seattle

Rangers Trying to Avoid Sweep 

The Texas Rangers are 33-37 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Texas has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed 10 runs in the two losses. Prior to this series, the Rangers won two out of three against the Dodgers, lost two out of three against the Giants, and lost two out of three against the Tigers. Texas is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are second in the AL West, 7.5 games behind Seattle. 

The Texas pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 300 runs with a .240 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Adolis Garcia is batting .218 with 13 home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Rangers this season. Texas has scored three runs or fewer in eight of their last eleven games. 

Mariners Extending Their AL West Lead 

The Seattle Mariners are 42-31 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. Seattle has won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 7-5. Prior to this series, the Mariners won three out of four against the White Sox, lost two out of three against the Royals, and won two out of three against the Athletics. Seattle is 15-5 in their last 20 games and they are leading the AL West over Texas. 

The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA, a 1.07 WHIP, and a .217 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 283 runs with a .221 batting average and a .300 on base percentage. Cal Raleigh is batting .209 with 12 home runs and 43 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. Seattle has scored at least four runs in six of their last nine games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Dane Dunning, who is 4-5 with a 4.80 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 54.1 innings pitched this year. Dunning has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last five starts and has allowed nine earned runs and eight hits in his last two outings against the Tigers and Dodgers. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Logan Gilbert, who is 3-4 with a 3.19 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 90.1 innings pitched this season. Gilbert has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five outings, while going at least six innings in all five starts. 

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

The Mariners have won nine of their last 10 home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.The Rangers have lost seven of their last eight games at T-Mobile Park against teams that held a winning record.The Mariners have covered the run line each of their last four day games against teams that held a losing record.The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Five of the Mariners’ last six games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.Five of the Rangers’ last six games as underdogs against the Mariners have gone UNDER the total runs line.The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last seven games as underdogs against AL West opponents.The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last three day games.

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 

Seattle comes into this game with a nice lead in the AL West and they are looking for the sweep with a win here. The Mariners are the only team in the AL West that is over .500 and they are taking advantage of an easy division so far. Seattle is 26-12 at home, while Texas is 17-20 on the road. The Mariners are going with Logan Gilbert, who has been a little up and down recently. The Rangers are starting Dane Dunning, who has been roughed up recently. We keep waiting for Texas to figure things out, but they are struggling right now and Seattle is on a roll. My Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners prediction is for the Mariners to win. 

David Racey's Pick: Mariners ML

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