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St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 6/16/24
Pick details
Chicago Cubs (34-37) vs St. Louis Cardinals (34-35)
June 16, 2024 at 01:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -135 / St. Louis Cardinals +115 — Over/Under: 11.5
In this article we will formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 16th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:
- The Cardinals recent form and recent player performanceÂ
- The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving St. LouisÂ
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
- Recent betting trends in games played between St. Louis and Chicago
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between St. Louis and Chicago
Cardinals are Second in the NL CentralÂ
The St. Louis Cardinals are 34-35 this season and they have won three of their last four games. St. Louis won game one in this series by a score of 3-0, but they dropped game two. Prior to this series, the Cardinals won two out of three against the Pirates, split four games with the Rockies, and lost two out of three against the Astros. St. Louis is 6-4 in their last ten games and they are second in the NL Central, 6.5 games behind the Brewers.Â
The St. Louis pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 267 runs with a .235 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Nolan Gorman is batting .207 with 15 home runs and 33 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. St. Louis has allowed three runs or fewer in five of their last six games.Â
Cubs Searching for Back to Back WinsÂ
The Chicago Cubs are 34-37 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Chicago was shutout in game one of this series on Friday, but they won game two by a score of 5-1. Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Rays, lost three out of four against the Reds, and won both games against the White Sox. Chicago has won two games in a row just once in their last 36 games and they are fourth in the NL Central.Â
The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 297 runs with a .227 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Christopher Morel is batting .198 with 13 home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last eight games.Â
Starting PitchersÂ
The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Miles Mikolas, who is 4-6 with a 4.85 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 78.0 innings pitched this year. Mikolas has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts and has allowed just two total earned runs in his last two outings. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Jameson Taillon, who is 3-2 with a 3.09 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 55.1 innings pitched this year. Taillon has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts, but did throw six shutout innings against the Rays last time out.Â
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
The Cubs have lost each of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a win.The underdogs have won nine of the last 11 games between the Cardinals and Cubs at Wrigley Field.The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a win.The underdogs have covered the run line in 10 of the last 11 games between the Cardinals and Cubs at Wrigley Field.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Cardinals’ last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.Each of the Cubs’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight day games at Wrigley Field.The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last six games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs PredictionÂ
Chicago has really struggled over the last few weeks and their offense has been very inconsistent, but they have a chance at a big series win here. The Cubs are 19-14 at home, while St. Louis is just 17-20 on the road. The Cardinals are starting Mikolas, who has actually pitched pretty well over the last few weeks. The Cubs are going with Taillon, who has solid season numbers, but has not been very sharp recently. I like what I have seen from Mikolas in recent starts and I don’t have much faith in the Chicago offense, so my St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs prediction is for the Cardinals to get the win.Â