Siena vs Mt. St. Mary’s Prediction 1/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers and the Siena Saints will meet on Sunday in a Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference matchup at Knott Arena in Emmitsburg, Maryland.

Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers Betting Preview

The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers enter Sunday afternoon’s contest with a 6–11 win‑loss record, including a 2–4 mark in conference play and a 4-2 record at home. The Mountaineers have compiled wins over Saint Francis, Loyola Maryland and Penn State Brandywine, while dropping games to West Virginia, Western Michigan, Maryland and the Ohio State Buckeyes. Last month, in the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers 73–42 victory over Penn State Brandywine, Mount St. Mary’s forward Justin Amadi tallied 12 points (6 of 7 shooting from the field), 3 rebounds and 1 block showcasing his ability to lead the Mount St. Mary’s frontcourt.

The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers average 68 points on 42.8 percent shooting from the field and 32.3 percent from three-point range per game. Defensively, the Mountaineers are allowing opponents 76.6 points per contest which ranks an abysmal 212th in the country.

Senior guard Arlandus Keyes leads the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers averaging 11.2 points, 3.1 rebounds, 3.1 assists and 1.1 steals per game. Senior guard Xavier Lipscomb averages 10.5 points, 5.1 rebounds, 4.2 assists and 1.4 steals per contest. Senior forward Trey Deveaux provides the Mountaineers a strong interior presence averaging 11.2 points, 4.8 rebounds and 0.8 steals per game. 

Sienna Saints Betting Preview

The Siena Saints enter Sunday’s contest with a 10–6 overall record, including a 3–2 mark in conference play and a 4-4 record on the road. Siena has compiled wins over Rider, Brown, Holy Cross and the Longwood Lancers, while dropping games to Iona, Colgate and the Indiana Hoosiers. Earlier this week, in the Siena Saints 74–65 win over Rider, Siena guard Gavin Doty amassed 19 points (8 of 13 shooting from the field), 7 rebounds, 5 assists and 1 steal illustrating his ability to play at a high level.

The Siena Saints average 73.2 points on 44.5% shooting from the field and 28.7 percent shooting from behind the arc per game. Siena allows 65.1 points per game which ranks 13th in the nation. The Saints have been more efficient in league play, holding opponents to 43 percent shooting from the field in their most recent win.

Freshman guard Francis Folefac has been a standout performer for the Siena Saints averaging 10.6 points, 4.6 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.1 blocks per game. Sophomore guard Gavin Doty averages 16.1 points on 44.8 percent shooting from the field per contest. Forward Tasman Goodrick adds 9.7 points, 7.3 rebounds and 1 block per game.

Why the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers will win

• Backcourt production. Senior guard Arlandus Keyes leads the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers averaging 11.2 points, 3.1 rebounds, 3.1 assists and 1.1 steals per game.

• Home court advantage. The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers have traditionally played the team’s best basketball at Knott Arena. The Mountaineers are 4-2 at home this season.

Why the Sienna Saints will win

• Defensive edge. The Siena Saints are allowing opponents 65.1 points per game which ranks 13th in the nation.

• Frontcourt production. Tasman Goodrick provides scoring and rebounding.

• Backcourt play. Freshman guard Francis Folefac has been a standout performer for the Siena Saints averaging 10.6 points, 4.6 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.1 blocks per game.

Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers vs. Sienna Saints Prediction

In my view, Mount St. Mary’s home court advantage, defensive consistency, and perimeter shooting give them a meaningful edge in this matchup. Siena’s scoring depth and offensive rebounding should keep them competitive, but the Mountaineers ability to control tempo and defend efficiently at Knott Arena makes them the more reliable side. For the reasons just noted, I am backing the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers to win this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Mount St. Mary's TBA