Newcastle United vs Sunderland Prediction 12/14/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Newcastle United vs Sunderland Prediction for this English Premier League Week 16 matchup on Sunday, December 14th, at the Stadium of Light. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Sunderland Preview

Sunderland has 23 points this season, with a 6-4-5 record, and is sitting on the 9th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-0-3 home record and a 2-4-2 away record. Sunderland is coming off a 3-0 road defeat to Manchester City, where they had 36% possession of the ball and 8 total shots, 1 of them on target. They had 80% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.71 compared to Manchester City’s 2.42.

Sunderland is scoring 1.20 goals per game, which ranks 9th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.13 goals per game, which is 8th. Wilson Isidor is Sunderland’s top scorer with 4 goals, followed by Daniel Ballard, Chemsdine Talbi, Enzo Le Fée, Nordi Mukiele and Brian Brobbey with two goals apiece. Granit Xhaka is Sunderland’s top passer, with 4 assists.

Newcastle United Preview

Newcastle United has 22 points this season, with a 6-5-4 record, and is sitting on the 12th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 5-2-0 home record and a 1-3-4 away record. Newcastle is coming off a 2-1 win against Burnley at home, where they had 69% possession of the ball and 17 total shots, 7 of them on target. They had 91% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.77 compared to Burnley’s 1.60.

Newcastle is scoring 1.40 goals per game, which ranks 12th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.27 goals per game, which is 11th. Bruno Guimarães and Nick Woltemade are Newcastle’s top scorers with 5 goals each, followed by Harvey Barnes with three goals and Anthony Gordon, Malick Thiaw and Jacob Murphy with two goals apiece. Bruno Guimarães, Lewis Miley and Dan Burn are Newcastle’s top passers, with 2 assists each.

Why Sunderland will win

·        Sunderland has won seven of its last eight league matches as an underdog following a league loss.

·        Sunderland has won each of its last five league matches as an underdog following a league loss.

·        Sunderland has won each of its last six league matches following a league loss.

·        Sunderland has won four of its last five EPL matches as an underdog against Newcastle United.

·        Sunderland has won each of its last three EPL home matches against Newcastle United.

·        Sunderland has won three of its last four EPL day matches as a home underdog.

·        Sunderland has won each of its last four EPL matches following a league loss.

·        Newcastle United has lost each of its last three EPL day matches as an away favorite.

Why Newcastle United will win

·        Newcastle United has won each of its last eight EPL day matches against promoted teams.

·        Newcastle United has won nine of its last 10 EPL matches against promoted teams.

·        Newcastle United has won 12 of its last 14 EPL day matches against promoted teams.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last eight EPL matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last seven EPL matches as a favorite.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of Newcastle United’s last 10 EPL matches.

·        The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Newcastle United’s last five EPL matches as a favorite.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last four EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Newcastle United’s last seven EPL matches against promoted teams.

Newcastle United vs Sunderland Prediction

Sunderland is 6-1-1 in their last 8 meetings against Newcastle and both teams to score – no is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Newcastle United vs Sunderland Prediction, Newcastle is coming as +120 road favorites. Both teams have almost the same number of points this season and Newcastle has just one win on the road, so they are being overvalued in this spot. They are also coming off an extra mid-week game for the Champions League where they had to travel to Germany and have never won Sunderland since 2011. The hosts have a better defense and they can keep this one close, so take Sunderland by +0.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Sunderland +0.5