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Burnley Burnley vs Manchester United Manchester United Prediction 8/30/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

Pick details

Burnley (1-0-1) vs Manchester United (0-1-1)

August 30, 2025 at 10:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Burnley -280 / Manchester United +700 — Over/Under: 2.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Burnley vs Manchester United Prediction for this English Premier League Week 3 matchup on Saturday, August 30th, at the Old Trafford. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Manchester United Preview

Manchester United has one point this season, with a 0-1-1 record, and are tied with three more teams in the 15th place of the Premier League Standings. They are coming off a 3-2 road defeat by Grimsby for the English Cup, where they had 70% possession of the ball and 28 total shots, with 9 shots on goal. They had 87% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 3.16 compared to Grimsby’s 1.75. They average 0.5 goal per game, while allowing 1 goal per game as well. Over is 2-1 in their last 3 matches.

Burnley Preview

Burnley has 3 points this season, with 1-1 record, and are tied with 6th more teams in the 7th place of the Premier League Standings. They are coming off a 2-1 home victory over Derby for the English Cup, where they had 55% possession of the ball and 13 total shots, with 5 shots on goal. They had 86% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.37 compared to Derby’s 0.86. They average one goal per game, while allowing 1.5 goals per game. Over is 2-1 in their last 3 matches.

Why Burnley will win

·        Burnley has won eight of its last nine league day matches.

·        Burnley has won seven of its last eight league Saturday matches.

·        Burnley has won each of its last six league day matches following a league win.

·        Manchester United has lost each of its last five EPL day matches as a home favorite.

·        Manchester United has lost five of its last six EPL day matches as a favorite.

·        Manchester United has lost four of its last five EPL matches as a home favorite.

Why Manchester United will win

·        Manchester United has won 10 of its last 11 EPL home matches against promoted teams.

·        Manchester United has won 11 of its last 12 EPL home matches following a league draw.

·        The favorite has won each of Burnley’s last seven league matches.

·        Burnley has lost four of its last five EPL matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in four of the last five EPL matches between Manchester United and Burnley.

·        The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of Burnley’s last nine league matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in six of Burnley’s last seven EPL matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Burnley’s last seven league matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Manchester United’s last eight EPL matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Manchester United’s last eight EPL home matches.

Burnley vs Prediction

Manchester United is 5-0-2 in their last 7 head-to-head meetings against Burnley, but they have just 3 wins in their last 8 home meetings against Burnley, with one loss and four draws. Their last 4 meetings have gone under the total, and both teams to score – Yes is 5-2 in their last 7 home meetings against Burnley.

In this Burnley vs Manchester United Prediction, Manchester United is coming as huge -280 favorites. United has not been looking good this season, having a slow start with one draw and one loss. They even managed go get eliminated in the English Cup by Grimsby, and they do not have the best history against Burnley. Even though I think United will win this one, it will definitely not be by more than 2 goals, so take Burnley by +1.5 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Burnley +1.5

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