Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction 11/9/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction for this English Premier League Week 11 matchup on Sunday, November 9th, at the Villa Park Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Aston Villa Preview

Aston Villa has 15 points this season, with a 4-3-3 record, and is sitting in 11th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 3-1-1 home record and a 1-2-2 away record. Aston Villa is coming off a 2-0 road defeat to Liverpool, where they had 47% possession of the ball and 10 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.41 compared to Liverpool’s 1.19.

Aston Villa is scoring 0.90 goals per game, which ranks 11th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is 5th. Matty Cash, Emi Buendía and Donyell Malen are Aston Villa’s top scorers with 2 goals each, followed by Morgan Rogers, John McGinn and Ollie Watkins with one goal apiece. Emi Buendía and Morgan Rogers are Aston Villa’s top passers, with 2 assists each.

Bournemouth Preview

Bournemouth has 18 points this season, with a 5-2-3 record, and is sitting in 5th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-0-1 home record and a 1-2-2 away record. Bournemouth is coming off a 3-1 road defeat to Manchester City, where they had 52% possession of the ball and 8 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 88% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.72 compared to Manchester City’s 2.22.

Bournemouth is scoring 1.70 goals per game, which ranks 5th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.40 goals per game, which is 12th. Antoine Semenyo is Bournemouth’s top scorer with 6 goals, followed by Eli Junior Kroupi with four goals and Marcus Tavernier with two goals. Antoine Semenyo is Bournemouth’s top passer, with 3 assists.

Why Aston Villa will win

·        Aston Villa has won each of its last four EPL day matches.

·        Aston Villa has won eight of its last 10 EPL home matches.

·        Aston Villa has won four of its last five EPL matches.

·        Aston Villa has won each of its last three EPL home matches.

·        Aston Villa has won seven of its last nine EPL matches as a home favorite.

·        The home team has won four of Aston Villa’s last five EPL matches.

Why Bournemouth will win

·        Aston Villa has lost each of its last four EPL Week 11 matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 12 of Aston Villa’s last 14 EPL Sunday matches as a home favorite.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 13 of Aston Villa’s last 16 EPL Sunday matches at Villa Park.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Aston Villa’s last three EPL matches as a home favorite.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Aston Villa’s last four EPL home matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Aston Villa’s last 14 EPL matches.

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction

Aston Villa has three wins and two draws in its last 5 meetings against Bournemouth and both teams to score – yes is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction, Aston Villa is coming as -105 home favorites. Bournemouth has more points than Aston Villa this season and have lost only once in their last 8 games, while Villa is 2-2 in its last four games and had to play an extra mid-week game for the Europa League. I expect the well-rested guests to keep this one close, so take Bournemouth by +0.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Bournemouth +0.5