Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction for this English Premier League Week 10 matchup on Saturday, November 1st, at the Anfield Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Liverpool Preview

Liverpool has 15 points this season, with a 5-4-0 record, and is sitting on the 7th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 3-1-0 home record and a 2-3-0 away record. Liverpool is coming off a 3-2 road defeat to Brentford, where they had 66% possession of the ball and 18 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 2.30 compared to Brentford’s 2.76.

Liverpool is scoring 1.78 goals per game, which ranks 3rd in the Premier League, while allowing 1.56 goals per game, which is 16th. Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo and Hugo Ekitike are Liverpool’s top scorers with 3 goals each, followed by Ryan Gravenberch and Federico Chiesa with 2, and Dominik Szoboszlai, Milos Kerkez and Rio Ngumoha with one goal apiece. Cody Gakpo is Liverpool’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Aston Villa Preview

Aston Villa has 15 points this season, with a 4-2-3 record, and is sitting on the 8th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 3-1-1 home record and a 1-1-2 away record. Aston Villa is coming off a 1-0 win against Manchester City at home, where they had 47% possession of the ball and 9 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 86% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.82 compared to Manchester City’s 1.18.

Aston Villa is scoring 1.00 goals per game, which ranks 18th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.89 goals per game, which is 5th. Matty Cash, Emi Buendía and Donyell Malen are Aston Villa’s top scorers with 2 goals each, followed by Morgan Rogers, John McGinn and Ollie Watkins with one goal apiece. Emi Buendía is Aston Villa’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Why Liverpool will win

·        Liverpool has won each of its last nine EPL night matches as a home favorite.

·        Liverpool has won 14 of its last 15 EPL night matches as a home favorite.

Why Aston Villa will win

·        Aston Villa has won four of its last five EPL matches as an underdog following a league win.

·        Aston Villa has won each of its last five EPL Saturday night matches.

·        Aston Villa has won three of its last four EPL night matches as an underdog.

·        Aston Villa has won each of its last three EPL matches as an underdog following a league win.

·        Liverpool has lost each of its last three EPL matches as a favorite following a league loss.

·        Liverpool has lost each of its last four EPL matches as a favorite.

·        Liverpool has lost each of its last three EPL Saturday matches as a favorite.

·        The underdog has won each of Liverpool’s last four EPL matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Liverpool’s last five EPL matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Liverpool’s last five EPL matches as a favorite.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Liverpool’s last five EPL night matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Aston Villa’s last six EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Aston Villa’s last four EPL matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 11 of Liverpool’s last 14 EPL matches.

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction

In their two meetings last season, Liverpool won 2-0 at home and both teams had a 2-2 draw in Aston Villa. Liverpool has 7 wins and three draws in its last 10 meetings against Aston Villa and over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction, Liverpool is coming as -155 home favorites. Both teams have exactly 15 points this season, but Liverpool is currently on a brutal stretch, where they have won only once in their last 7 games. On the flip side, Villa has been red hot with four consecutive wins in the Premier League and have the 5th-best defense. Given both teams’ current form, I like the guests to keep this one close, so take Aston Villa by +0.5 goals in this one.