Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston Prediction 10/14/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston prediction for this College Football game on Wednesday, October 14th at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium in Huntsville, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7 matchup.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Betting Preview

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are 2-4 (1-1) this season after they defeated Missouri State by a score of 34-13 in their last game. Western Kentucky led 21-6 at halftime and added 13 points in the second half to pull away with the win. The Hilltoppers out gained their opponent by a total of 464-340, went 9-17 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Brock Glenn threw for 231 yards and one touchdown, while Jonathan Stafford Jr caught six passes for 72 yards and one score. Ajay Allen rushed 13 times for 105 yards and two touchdowns in the win.

Prior to that game, Western Kentucky lost to New Mexico State by a score of 34-13, but did beat Mercyhurst by a score of 52-7 before that. The Hilltoppers have scored 22.2 points per game with 231.8 passing yards and 134.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 35.2 points against per game this season. Brock Glenn has thrown for 536 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions this season.

Sam Houston Bearkats Betting Preview

The Sam Houston Bearkats are 1-4 (0-1) this year after they lost to Liberty by a score of 35-3 last week. Sam Houston trailed 14-3 at halftime and they pitched a shutout in the second half in the blowout win. The Bearkats were out gained by a total of 411-243, went 4-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Landyn Locke threw for 138 yards, while Grady O’Neill caught three passes for 39 yards. MJ Dowdy rushed 11 times for 42 yards in the loss.

Prior to that game, Sam Houston lost to Texas Tech by a score of 49-14, but did beat Nicholls by a score of 59-0 before that. The Bearkats have scored 22.8 points per game with 274.0 passing yards and 101.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.2 points against per game this season. Landyn Locke has thrown for 1,306 yards with 11 touchdowns and three interceptions this year.

Why the Sam Houston State Bearkats will win

• The home team has won four of Sam Houston State’s last five games.
• The home team has covered the spread in five of Western Kentucky’s last six games.
• Western Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road games.

Why the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will win

• Sam Houston State has lost each of its last five games in October.
• The favorite has won each of Sam Houston State’s last seven games.
• Sam Houston State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Western Kentucky has covered the spread in each of its last three games against teams from Texas.
• Western Kentucky has won the first half in seven of its last eight games as a road favorite.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Sam Houston State’s last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams at Bowers Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of Western Kentucky’s last seven October games as a road favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.

Sam Houston State Bearkats Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Landan Brown ranks 4th amongst qualified players for catch rate (93.8%) this season.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 7, Jonathan Stafford Jr. leads the Conference USA for targets (53) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Sam Houston State ranks 131st among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (7.6).
• Sam Houston State ranks 131st among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (211.6).
• Western Kentucky has suffered the most road losses by a margin of 20+ points of any FBS team this season (4).
• Western Kentucky has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 25+ points of any FBS team this season (3).

Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston Prediction

Sam Houston comes into this matchup looking for their first FBS win of the season and they have been out scored 84-17 in their last two games. The Bearkats have really struggled to score points this year, as they have scored 21 or fewer in four games against FBS opponents. Western Kentucky has one FBS win this year and they have allowed 34+ points in their last three road games. I don’t love the WKU defense, but I can’t back Sam Houston with how they are moving the ball right now. Take Western Kentucky here.

David Racey's Pick: Western Kentucky ML