Kennesaw State quarterback Rickie Collins (1) drops back to pass during a college football game against Tennessee on Sept. 19, 2026, in Knoxville, Tennessee.
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Kennesaw State vs Missouri State Prediction 10/14/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Kennesaw State Owls Missouri State Bears
Team Records 1-4 1-4
Spread -3 -112 +3 -108
Moneyline -162 +136
Total Over 52.5 (-105) Under 52.5 (-115)
Where Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, MO
When Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Time 07:30 PM EDT
TV CBSSN

The Kennesaw State Owls and the Missouri State Bears meet in week 7 college football action from 

Robert W. Plaster Stadium on Wednesday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears Prediction.

Kennesaw State Owls Recap

The Kennesaw State Owls come into this game looking to bounce back from a 27-26 loss at the hands of Jacksonville State last time out to sit at 1-4 this season. After this game, Kennesaw State will head home for a game against Liberty.

Owls Lose 4 In A Row

Rickie Collins has thrown for 1,042 yards, 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 68.7% passing while Rickie Collins leads Kennesaw State in rushing with 246 yards and 4 touchdowns. Boogie Woods III sits behind Collins on the ground with 206 yards and 3 touchdowns. Brayden Munroe leads the Owls in receiving with 299 yards and 19 catches, while Javon Rogers trails with 229 yards and 12 catches along with a touchdown. On defense, Tywon Christopher has a team-high 36 tackles while Kennesaw State’s defense as a whole has combined for 5 sacks and 2 interceptions.

Missouri State Bears Recap

The Missouri State Bears come into this game looking to rebound from their 34-13 loss at the hands of Western Kentucky last time out to sit at 1-4 on the year. After this game, Missouri State will head on the road for a game against Delaware.

Bears Drop 3rd Straight

Skyler Locklear has thrown for 788 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 65.7% passing while Breezy Dubar leads Missouri State in rushing with 218 yards and 2 touchdowns. Ramone Green Jr. sits behind Dubar on the ground with 209 yards and 2 touchdowns. Isaiah Myers leads the Bears in receiving with 419 yards and 20 catches along with 3 touchdowns, while Mekhi Miller trails with 146 yards and 13 catches. On defense, Jared Lloyd has a team-high 62 tackles while Missouri State’s defense as a whole has combined for 6 sacks and 2 interceptions.

Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears Betting Trends: Week 7


Why the Missouri State Bears will win

  • Kennesaw State has lost each of its last four games.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in each of Kennesaw State’s last four games.

Why the Kennesaw State Owls will win

  • Missouri State has lost seven of its last eight games.
  • Kennesaw State has won eight of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
  • Kennesaw State has covered the spread in each of its last six games in October.
  • Missouri State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Kennesaw State has won the first quarter in each of its last three games in October.
  • Missouri State has lost the first half in each of its last 10 games as an underdog.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Missouri State’s last four home games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of Kennesaw State’s last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Missouri State Bears Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Jared Lloyd leads the league for tackles (60) this season.

Kennesaw State Owls Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 7, Rickie Collins leads Kennesaw State for touchdowns (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Missouri State ranks 137th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-7.2).
  • Missouri State ranks T134th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (2.8).
  • Kennesaw State ranks T135th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (100.0).
  • Kennesaw State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.0).

Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears Prediction

I’m on Missouri State and the points in this one. I think Kennesaw is a solid team that’s been highly competitive in their last couple of games, but you have to wonder what close losses in back-to-back games like that does to a team, losing their last two games by four points combined. I think this has potential to be another close call and with two being a new key number in college football, I think Missouri State’s line has some added value here. Give me Missouri State and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Missouri State +3

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