Texas vs Oklahoma Prediction 10/10/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Texas vs Oklahoma Prediction for this College Football Week 6 matchup on Saturday, October 10th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Oklahoma Sooners Preview

Oklahoma has a 2-2 record and a 0-1 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 13-41 road loss against Georgia and will face Kentucky and Mississippi State next. Offensively, Oklahoma averages 22 points per game, ranking 109th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 16 points per game, which is 24th. Oklahoma averages 321.3 total yards per game (222.3 passing and 99 rushing), while allowing 238 total yards per game (115.5 rushing and 122.5 passing).

John Mateer leads Oklahoma with 883 passing yards with 66.1% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Lloyd Avant leads the team in rushing yards with 164, while Isaiah Sategna has a team-high 20 receptions for 267 receiving yards. Defensively, Owen Heinecke has a team-high 27 total tackles (13 of them solo), while Adepoju Adebawore leads the team with 2.5 sacks.

Texas Longhorns Preview

Texas has a 4-0 record and a 1-0 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 20-17 road win against Tennessee and will face Florida and Ole Miss next. Offensively, Texas averages 33.2 points per game, ranking 57th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 13.2 points per game, which is 11th. Texas averages 378.5 total yards per game (231.3 passing and 147.3 rushing), while allowing 271 total yards per game (99.3 rushing and 171.8 passing).

Arch Manning leads Texas with 862 passing yards with 63.5% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Raleek Brown leads the team in rushing yards with 196, while Ryan Wingo has a team-high 19 receptions for 239 receiving yards. Defensively, Rasheem Biles has a team-high 30 total tackles (18 of them solo), while Colin Simmons leads the team with 7.5 sacks.

Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners Betting Trends: Week 6

Why the Oklahoma Sooners will win

• Oklahoma has won three of its last four games as an underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• Texas has lost four of its last five games as an AP-ranked team at Cotton Bowl.
• Texas has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 14 October games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
• Oklahoma has covered the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
• Oklahoma has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against top-10 AP-ranked teams at neutral venues.
• Oklahoma has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against teams from Texas.

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

• Texas has won each of its last 10 games in Texas.
• Oklahoma has lost seven of its last eight games in Texas.
• Oklahoma has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games in Texas.
• The favorite has covered the spread in five of the last six games between Texas and Oklahoma.
• The team ranked 1st in the AP Poll has won the first half in each of its last 19 games.
• Texas has won the first quarter in each of its last 10 games as a top-5 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

• Six of Oklahoma’s last seven games against AP-ranked teams at neutral venues have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of Texas’ last 10 October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Oklahoma Sooners Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Isaiah Sategna ranks 3rd in the Southeastern Conference for punt return yards (130) this season.

Texas Longhorns Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Colin Simmons ranks 2nd amongst FBS players for sacks (7.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Oklahoma ranks 1st among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (48).
• Oklahoma ranks T2nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (60.0).
• Texas ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (1.8).
• Texas ranks 4th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+9.5).

Texas vs Oklahoma Prediction

In this Texas vs Oklahoma prediction, Texas is coming as -8.5 favorites. Texas has been undefeated this season and has the 11th-best defense in the entire country for a +20 point differential. Oklahoma has lost two of its last three games and has failed to cover the spread in its last three, while ranking outside the top-100 of the country in points scored. Texas is also 3-1 in its last 4 head-to-head meetings against Oklahoma and I expect them to keep rolling in this one. Take Texas and lay the -8.5 points.  

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Texas -8.5