Southern Mississippi vs Troy Prediction 10/6/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles and Troy Trojans meet Monday in week 6 college football action at Veterans Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Southern Mississippi vs. Troy Prediction. This article will include a Southern Mississippi vs. Troy Pick.

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles Betting Preview

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles lost to UConn and Tulane, and will play Arkansas State next. Southern Mississippi has lost 3 straight games. Landry Lyddy is completing 61.3 percent of his passes for 508 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Mario Sanders and AJ Little have combined for 478 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while MJ Johnson has 9 receptions.

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles’ ground game is averaging 150 yards per contest, and Steven Robinson leads the way with 319 yards and 4 touchdowns. On defense, Southern Mississippi allows 29.5 points and 429.3 yards per game. Mathis Haygood leads the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles with 29 tackles, Jameer Lewis has 1.5 sacks, and Kobi Albert has 3 interceptions.

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

The Troy Trojans lost to Missouri and Utah State, and play Louisiana next. Troy has split its last 12 games. Goose Crowder is completing 52.3 percent of his passes for 822 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. TJ Keyes and Howard Kinchen have combined for 408 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Noreel White has 10 receptions.

The Troy Trojans ground game is averaging 166.3 yards per contest, and Gavin Griffin leads the way with 259 yards on 54 carries. Defensively, Troy is allowing 21.5 points and 309.3 yards per game. Keno Jones leads the Troy Trojans with 27 tackles, Donnie Smith has 4 sacks, and Jamarion Keyes has 1 interception.

Troy Trojans Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, TK Keyes ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (22.5) this season.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Ja’Kobi Albert ranks T1st in the Sun Belt Conference for interceptions (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Troy ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (1.5).
• Troy ranks 5th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (2.5).
• Southern Miss ranks 131st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (10.3).
• Southern Miss ranks T9th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (69.2).

Southern Mississippi vs Troy Prediction

Troy doesn’t appear to have the offense to win games comfortably, but a lot of those numbers are watered down due to road games against Missouri and Utah State. When Troy has played subpar competition, it’s been fine. Southern Miss is that subpar competition, especially on the defensive side, where it’s 124th in total defense, 133rd against the run, and 112th in scoring defense. Southern Mississippi can’t stop anybody, and that includes allowing 48 points to UConn at home. I never love hooks on top of key numbers, but Troy is easily the better side and is far more battle-tested. This should be a routine win for Troy at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Troy -10.5