Pick details
| MATCHUP | Purdue Boilermakers | Iowa Hawkeyes |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-6 | 7-2 |
| Spread | +17.5 -112 | -17.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +600 | -900 |
| Total | Over 47.5 (-112) | Under 47.5 (-108) |
| Where | Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA | |
| When | Saturday, November 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | NBC | |
Purdue vs Iowa Prediction
In this Purdue vs Iowa prediction for this College Football Week 11 matchup on Saturday, November 14th, Iowa is coming as -17.5 home favorites. Iowa has been the far better team this season with a better overall record and an almost perfect home record. They have the third-best defense in the entire nation, allowing just 12.2 points per game, facing one of the weakest defenses, as the Boilermakers are allowing 20.1 points per game more. On top of that, Purdue has been struggling lately with three straight wins and 0-3 against the spread, so I expect a comfortable win for the home team today. Take Iowa and lay the -17.5 points in this one.
Iowa Hawkeyes Preview
Iowa has a 7-2 record and a 4-2 conference record, sitting on the 5th place of the Big Ten, while having a 4-1 home record and a 3-1 away record. They are coming off a 24-10 road win against Northwestern, following a 30-0 home win against Wisconsin and a 10-13 road loss against Minnesota, and will face Illinois and Nebraska next.
Offensively, Iowa averages 27.8 points per game, while defensively, they allow 12.2 points per game. Iowa averages 373.9 total yards per game (200.1 passing and 173.8 rushing), while allowing 276.7 total yards per game (81.9 rushing and 194.8 passing). They average 61.9 plays per game and 6 yards per play on offense, while allowing 62.9 plays per game and 4.4 yards per play on defense. Iowa averages 19.3 first downs per game on offense and 14.9 first downs per game on defense. They average 6.9 yards per pass attempt and 5.3 yards per rush attempt. Iowa has scored 30 touchdowns this season (13 passing and 14 rushing). They are converting 40.87% of their third downs and 33.33% of their fourth downs. They have thrown 6 interceptions this season, while their defense has intercepted 6 passes.
Hank Brown leads Iowa with 1,316 passing yards with 65.8% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Kamari Moulton leads the team in rushing yards with 541, while Tony Diaz has a team-high 504 receiving yards and 35 receptions. Defensively, Cam Buffington has a team-high 82 total tackles (47 of them solo), while Joseph Anderson leads the team with 4 sacks.
Purdue Boilermakers Preview
Purdue has a 3-6 record and a 2-4 conference record, sitting on the 15th place of the Big Ten, while having a 2-4 home record and a 1-2 away record. They are coming off a 29-34 home loss against Maryland, following a 17-31 road loss against Penn State and a 26-38 home loss against Washington, and will face Wisconsin and Indiana next.
Offensively, Purdue averages 29.4 points per game, while defensively, they allow 32.3 points per game. Purdue averages 384.9 total yards per game (267 passing and 117.9 rushing), while allowing 415.4 total yards per game (170.8 rushing and 244.7 passing). They average 67.3 plays per game and 5.7 yards per play on offense, while allowing 61.1 plays per game and 6.8 yards per play on defense. Purdue averages 21.8 first downs per game on offense and 20.6 first downs per game on defense. They average 7.9 yards per pass attempt and 3.5 yards per rush attempt. Purdue has scored 29 touchdowns this season (12 passing and 15 rushing). They are converting 40.68% of their third downs and 52.63% of their fourth downs. They have thrown 5 interceptions this season, while their defense has intercepted 8 passes.
Ryan Browne leads Purdue with 2,260 passing yards with 62.2% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Fame Ijeboi leads the team in rushing yards with 620, while Asaad Waseem has a team-high 709 receiving yards and 43 receptions. Defensively, Jojo Hayden has a team-high 70 total tackles (22 of them solo), while Curt Neal leads the team with 2.5 sacks.
Purdue Boilermakers @ Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the Iowa Hawkeyes will win
- Iowa has won each of its last 13 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Kinnick Stadium.
- Purdue has lost each of its last 10 games in November.
- Purdue has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last 10 games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
- Iowa has covered the spread in four of its last five games against teams from Indiana.
- Iowa has won the first half in eight of its last nine home games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win
- The underdog has won three of the last four games between Purdue and Iowa.
- The underdog has covered the spread in four of Purdue’s last five games.
- Iowa has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 17 November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Iowa’s last six home games against teams from Indiana have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Purdue’s last four games at Kinnick Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Iowa Hawkeyes Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Tony Diaz leads Iowa for receiving yards (504) this season.
Purdue Boilermakers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Fame Ijeboi leads the Big Ten Conference for rush attempts (160) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Iowa ranks 3rd among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (12.2).
- Iowa ranks 3rd among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (4.8).
- Purdue ranks 124th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (32.3).
- Purdue ranks 123rd among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (415.4).
