Oklahoma State vs Iowa State Prediction 10/31/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Oklahoma State vs Iowa State Prediction

As I said in previous write-ups, Iowa State used to be a worthwhile underdog that could pull an upset or two. Iowa State is 0-3 SU and ATS in its last three games as an underdog and has lost those games by an average of 21.3 points. Iowa State doesn’t have the offensive horses to keep up with Oklahoma State as it’s 109th in total offense, 123rd in passing offense, and 90th in scoring offense.

Oklahoma State has also covered nine of its last 10 games, making the Cowboys one of the safest bets in college football dating back to last season. It’s a big number for a road team. I get it. I’m still laying the points with OK State, as this is a bad matchup for Iowa State across the board.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview

The Oklahoma State Cowboys lost to Houston, beat Colorado, and they play Kansas State next. Oklahoma State has won 5 of its last 6 games. Drew Meskimen is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 2,326 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Justin Bowick and Wyatt Young have combined for 1,246 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns, while Miles Coleman has 22 receptions.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys’ ground game is averaging 188.1 yards per contest, and Caleb Hawkins leads the way with 712 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Oklahoma State is allowing 23.7 points and 364 yards per game. Ethan Wesloski leads the Oklahoma State Cowboys with 70 tackles, Malik Charles has 3.5 sacks, and LaDainian Fields has 4 interceptions.

Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview

The Iowa State Cyclones lost to BYU and Arizona, and they play Baylor next. Iowa State has lost 3 of its last 4 games. Jaylen Raynor is completing 58.9 percent of his passes for 1,107 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Dominic Overby and Omari Hayes have combined for 449 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Cody Jackson has 11 receptions.

The Iowa State Cyclones’ ground game is averaging 163 yards per contest, and Aiden Flora leads the way with 716 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa State is allowing 24.1 points and 370.1 yards per game. Sullivan Schlimgen leads the Iowa State Cyclones with 71 tackles, Isaac Terell has 3 sacks, and Beni Ngoyi has 1 interception.

Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win

• Oklahoma State has lost 12 of its last 13 road games.
• Iowa State has won three of its last four October games as a home underdog against AP-ranked teams.
• Iowa State has covered the spread in eight of its last nine October games as a home underdog.
• Oklahoma State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road games in October.
• Iowa State has won the first quarter in four of its last six October games as a home underdog against AP-ranked teams.
• Oklahoma State has lost the first half in nine of its last 10 road games.

Why the Oklahoma State Cowboys will win

• Oklahoma State has won each of its last seven games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
• Iowa State has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked teams at Jack Trice Stadium.
• Oklahoma State has covered the spread in each of its last eight games against conference opponents.
• Iowa State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games in October.
• Oklahoma State has won the first quarter in five of its last six October games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
• Iowa State has lost the first half in each of its last seven games as an underdog against teams from Oklahoma.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Iowa State’s last nine October games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of Oklahoma State’s last nine October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Iowa State Cyclones Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Aiden Flora leads Iowa State for touchdowns (6) this season.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Sam Keltner ranks T1st amongst FBS players for made field goals (18) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Iowa State ranks 1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
• Iowa State ranks 134th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (29.4).
• Oklahoma State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (11.4).
• Oklahoma State ranks 1st among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (23.1).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Oklahoma State -9.5