Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction 10/31/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction

Arkansas comes into this matchup after a nice win over Vanderbilt prior to the bye week, but they only have two FBS wins this year. Missouri has won three of their last five games and they have allowed 17 points or fewer in all three of those wins. The Tigers were not competitive against Ole Miss in their last game, but they should have no issues in this one. Take Missouri to cover on the road.

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

The Missouri Tigers are 5-2 (2-2) this season after they lost to Ole Miss by a score of 31-3 in their last game. Missouri led 3-0 in the first quarter, but they trailed 21-3 at halftime and were shutout in the second half. The Tigers were out gained by a total of 498-378, went 6-17 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Austin Simmons threw for 339 yards and one interception, while Donovan Olugbode caught nine passes for 127 yards. Jamal Roberts rushed 20 times for 39 yards in the loss.

Prior to that game, Missouri defeated Texas A&M by a score of 27-6 and Florida by a score of 45-17. The Tigers have scored 31.1 points per game with 268.3 passing yards and 161.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 19.6 points against per game this season. Austin Simmons has thrown for 1,773 yards with 14 touchdowns and two interceptions, while Jamal Roberts has rushed 167 times for 867 yards and eight scores this season.

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks are 3-4 (1-3) this year after they defeated Vanderbilt by a score of 31-21 in their last game. Arkansas was tied 14-14 at halftime and 21-21 in the third quarter, but they allowed the last 10 points for the loss. The Razorbacks out gained Vanderbilt by a total of 438-390, went 8-16 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. KJ Jackson threw for 251 yards, while Antonio Jordan caught five passes for 74 yards. KJ Jackson also led the ground game with 11 carries for 58 yards and one score in the win.

Prior to that game, Arkansas lost to Tennessee by a score of 24-17 and Texas A&M by a score of 34-7. The Razorbacks have scored 21.0 points per game with 231.4 passing yards and 111.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.7 points against per game this season. KJ Jackson has thrown for 1,444 yards with seven touchdowns and four interceptions, while Chris Marshall has 43 catches for 633 yards and two scores. Braylen Russell has rushed 58 times for 205 yards and two touchdowns this year.

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

• Missouri has won each of its last 28 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Arkansas has lost each of its last 12 games against AP-ranked teams.
• Missouri has covered the spread in each of its last nine road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against teams from Missouri.
• Missouri has won the first quarter in five of its last six games against teams from Arkansas.
• Arkansas has lost the first half in each of its last seven home games against AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Missouri’s last seven October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Arkansas’ last five home games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Arkansas Razorbacks Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, KJ Jackson leads Arkansas for touchdowns (3) this season.

Missouri Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Jamal Roberts ranks 3rd amongst FBS players for rushing attempts (167) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arkansas ranks 131st among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (8.1).
• Arkansas ranks T130th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (4.3).
• Missouri ranks 4th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (14.4).
• Missouri ranks T7th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+8.4).

David Racey's Pick: Missouri -10