Louisiana vs UL Monroe Prediction 11/12/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

Louisiana vs UL Monroe Odds and Matchup Info
MATCHUP Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns UL Monroe Warhawks
Team Records 6-3 2-7
Spread -10.5 -110 +10.5 -110
Moneyline -410 +320
Total Over 49.5 (-108) Under 49.5 (-112)
Where Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA
When Thursday, November 12, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV ESPN2

Louisiana vs LA-Monroe Prediction

I’ll stay with Louisiana. The Cajuns got their sixth win of the season last Saturday but did have a little trouble putting away a middling South Alabama team in the process. Louisiana managed to gain 459 yards in that one with 19 first downs and a very nice 8-of-13 on third-down tries. The Cajuns gave up 369 yards on the other side while holding the Jaguars to just 4-of-12 on this-down conversions. Louisiana’s 10 penalties for 60 yards didn’t help matters, so I’d like to see a few less flags in this week’s matchup. The Cajuns have scored 28 or more points in four straight games but they’re just 2-2 in that time. The defense needs to show up here.

As for LA-Monroe, they put up a nice win over Arkansas State last weekend on the road, notching 389 yards with 23 first downs and a 9-of-14 success rate on third downs. The Warhawks did have a couple of turnovers and eight penalties for 65 yards but it was still a much-needed win. LA-Monroe hasn’t eclipsed the 21-point mark for four straight games though; they’re 2-2 in that time.

Game Info, Stats and Previews

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns and the LA-Monroe Warhawks meet Thursday in college football action from Malone Stadium in Monroe. Here’s a collection of relevant information and reasoning for a sound Louisiana vs LA-Monroe prediction. We have looked at this information from a betting perspective and attempted to determine the best Louisiana vs LA-Monroe pick. We will also examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. We will tie it all together to the pick summary, resulting in a sensible prediction for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Preview

The Cajuns have been a bit choppy lately in the win column but overall they’re having a decent season. Louisiana opened up on a nice 4-1 run, falling to only USC in that time. Otherwise it was victories over Lamar, UAB, Charlotte and Arkansas State for the Cajuns. Since then it’s been a 2-2 run with losses to LA Tech and Southern Miss mixed with wins versus Troy and South Alabama. In nine games so far that gives the Cajuns a 6-3 record in the books.

In their matchup with South Alabama last weekend, Louisiana posted three touchdowns in the first half and went into the locker room with a 21-17 edge. The Cajuns scored again in the third and were able to hang on for a 28-26 win in the end. QB Lunch Winfield had a 10-of-14 line for 147 yards, one TD and one pick. JJ Garner led the rush with 10 carries for 136 yards and a TD while Trenton Chaney had two grabs for 46 yards.

LA-Monroe Warhawks Betting Preview

Over on the LA-Monroe side, they opened up with a rough six-game losing streak this year versus Mississippi State, UAB, SE Louisiana, Florida Atlantic, South Alabama and Louisiana Tech. The Warhawks are 2-1 since then though, losing to Southern Miss in between wins over Troy and Arkansas State. In nine games so far that gives the team a 2-7 record.

Matched up against Arkansas State last weekend, the Warhawks were trailing 14-9 by the break. LA-Monroe posted a TD and a field goal in the second half, hanging on for a tight 19-17 victory in the end.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns @ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Betting Trends: Week 11

 

2026 college football handicapper records, ranked by profit ($100 base bet).
CapperWonLostWin %Profit
Ron Romanelli462465.71%+1911
Big Al McMordie745358.27%+1566
Brad Francis543660.00%+1295
Jeremy Conn745656.92%+1260
Hunter Fogarty432959.72%+1037

See the full rankings: Best College Football Handicappers

Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win

  • The home team has won four of the last five games between Louisiana and Louisiana-Monroe.
  • Louisiana-Monroe has covered the spread in each of its last three games in November.
  • Louisiana has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns will win

  • Louisiana-Monroe has lost 15 of its last 16 games in November.
  • Louisiana has won each of its last seven games in November.
  • Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last 10 November games at FMOL Health | St. Francis Stadium.
  • The road team has covered the spread in seven of Louisiana-Monroe’s last eight games.
  • Louisiana has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against Louisiana-Monroe.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of Louisiana’s last 10 November road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Four of Louisiana-Monroe’s last five games in Louisiana have gone OVER the total points line.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 11, Marcellus Jackson leads Louisiana-Monroe for receptions (35) this season.

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 11, JJ Garner ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (7.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Louisiana-Monroe ranks 134th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-4.8).
  • Louisiana-Monroe ranks T133rd among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (19.1).
  • Louisiana ranks 2nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (96.8).
  • Louisiana ranks 6th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (33:20).

Andrew Jett's Pick: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -10.5

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