Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Prediction 10/28/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks and the New Mexico State Aggies meet in week 9 college football action from Aggie Memorial Stadium on Wednesday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks Recap

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks come into this game looking to add on to their 27-24 win over FIU last time out to sit at 5-2 this season. After this game, Jacksonville State will head home for a game against Sam Houston.

Gamecocks Win 4 In A Row

Caden Creel has thrown for 1,637 yards, 12 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 67.2% passing while Caden Creel also leads Jacksonville State in rushing with 500 yards and 4 touchdowns. Jalen Likely sits behind Creel on the ground with 201 yards and 2 touchdowns. Deondre Johnson leads the Gamecocks in receiving with 431 yards and 22 catches along with 3 touchdowns, while Luke Gilbert trails with 286 yards and 13 catches along with 3 touchdowns. On defense, Caleb Nix has a team-high 43 tackles while Jacksonville State’s defense as a whole has combined for 7 sacks and 6 interceptions.

New Mexico State Aggies Recap

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game looking to add on to their 30-24 win over Sam Houston last time out to sit at 3-4 this season. After this game, the Aggies will take on Liberty at home.

Aggies Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Trey Hedden has thrown for 906 yards, 5 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 52.4% passing while James Jones leads New Mexico State in rushing with 777 yards and 4 touchdowns. Trey Hedden sits behind Jones on the ground with -20 yards, while team rushing totals 1,060 yards and 8 touchdowns. TK King leads the Aggies in receiving with 307 yards and 23 catches along with 3 touchdowns, while Josiah Thomas trails with 248 yards and 19 catches. On defense, Nick Session has a team-high 52 tackles while New Mexico State’s defense as a whole has combined for 13 sacks and 9 interceptions.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies Betting Trends: Week 9

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• New Mexico State has won three of its last four October games as a home underdog.
• Jacksonville State has lost three of its last four road games.
• Jacksonville State has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine road games.
• New Mexico State has covered the spread in six of its last seven home games in October.
• The home team has won the first quarter in six of New Mexico State’s last seven games.

Why the Jacksonville State Gamecocks will win

• Jacksonville State has won each of its last 11 games in October.
• New Mexico State has lost nine of its last 10 games as an underdog.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of New Mexico State’s last six games.
• New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games as an underdog.
• The favorite has won the first half in each of New Mexico State’s last seven games.

Total Points Facts

• Five of Jacksonville State’s last six games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of New Mexico State’s last five games as a home underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

New Mexico State Aggies Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, James Jones leads the Conference USA for rush attempts (119) this season.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Jamill Williams ranks 9th amongst qualified players for catch rate (89.3%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• New Mexico State ranks 128th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (2.7).
• New Mexico State ranks T126th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-4.4).
• Jacksonville State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
• Jacksonville State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (2.7).

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction

I’m on Jacksonville State here. I get the case to be made for the Aggies after the win over Sam Houston, but that was a win that the Aggies I think were fortunate to get and I look for Jacksonville State to break through here. The Gamecocks have been in some close games as of late, but I think this is one that I think they can win by a TD. Give me the Gamecocks in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Jacksonville State -3