Houston vs Georgia Southern Prediction 9/26/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Houston vs Georgia Southern prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 26th at Allen E. Paulson Stadium in Statesboro, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 4 matchup. 

Houston Cougars Betting Preview

The Houston Cougars are 2-1 this season after they lost to Texas Tech by a score of 28-26 last Friday night. Houston led 17-14 at halftime, but they trailed for most of the second half, before getting stopped on a two point conversion with 49 seconds left for the loss. The Cougars out gained Texas Tech by a total of 458-425, went 9-15 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Conner Weigman threw for 282 yards and three touchdowns, while Amare Thomas caught seven passes for 75 yards and one score. Makhi Hughes rushed 15 times for 71 yards in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Houston defeated Southern by a score of 77-6 and Oregon State by a score of 33-20. The Cougars have scored 45.3 points per game with 263.3 passing yards and 264.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.0 points against per game this season. Conner Weigman has thrown for 707 yards with seven touchdowns and one interception this season. 

Georgia Southern Eagles Betting Preview

The Georgia Southern Eagles are 1-2 this year after they lost to Jacksonville State by a score of 31-27 in their last game. Georgia Southern led 24-10 at halftime and 27-17 in the fourth quarter, but they were outscored 14-0 in the fourth for the loss. The Eagles out gained Jax State by a total of 369-302, went 10-17 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Max Johnson threw for 187 yards and one interception, while Josh Dallas caught seven passes for 43 yards. David Mbadinga rushed 18 times for 103 yards in the game. 

Prior to that loss, Georgia Southern lost to Clemson by a score of 22-7, but did defeat Charleston Southern by a score of 31-0 before that. The Eagles have scored 21.7 points per game with 260.7 passing yards and 122.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 17.7 points against per game this season. Max Johnson has thrown for 712 yards with two touchdowns and one interception this year. 

Why the Georgia Southern Eagles will win

• Georgia Southern has won each of its last nine September games at Allen E. Paulson Stadium.
• Houston has lost six of its last eight road games in September.
• Georgia Southern has covered the spread in each of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents at Allen E. Paulson Stadium.
• Houston has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five September road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Houston has lost the first half in five of its last six road games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Houston Cougars will win

• The favorite has won each of Georgia Southern’s last eight games at Allen E. Paulson Stadium.
• Georgia Southern has lost seven of its last eight September games as an underdog.
• The favorite has covered the spread in seven of Georgia Southern’s last eight games at Allen E. Paulson Stadium.
• Georgia Southern has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight September games as an underdog.
• Houston has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Houston’s last eight games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of Georgia Southern’s last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Georgia Southern Eagles Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Weston Bryan ranks T13th amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (4) this season.

Houston Cougars Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Conner Weigman ranks T8th in the league for TD:INT ratio (7.00) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Georgia Southern ranks 132nd among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-6.7).
• Georgia Southern ranks T130th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (100.0).
• Houston ranks 2nd among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (66.7).
• Houston ranks T4th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (85).

Houston vs Georgia Southern Prediction 

Houston comes into this matchup after a tough loss to Texas Tech last week, but they played well in that game and could have easily won. The Cougars have a very good quarterback, but they have scored just 33 and 26 points in their FBS games so far. Georgia Southern has dropped two in a row and they are coming off of a fourth quarter collapse last week. The Eagles also have a decent quarterback, but they only scored seven points against Clemson in week two. Take the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 56.5